NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic season, which runs through November 30 and is the only period before 2027, project below-normal activity driven by emerging El Niño conditions that elevate vertical wind shear across the main development region. Official outlooks call for 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and just 1–3 major hurricanes (Category 3–5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), below 1991–2020 averages, with CSU’s June update lowering totals further to 11 storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 majors while explicitly assigning below-average U.S. major-hurricane landfall odds. Early-season conditions align with historical analogs featuring suppressed intensification, and no observational data yet contradict the consensus that Category 4 systems capable of U.S. landfall remain unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$332,933 거래량
$332,933 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$332,933 거래량
$332,933 거래량
2026.12.31
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic season, which runs through November 30 and is the only period before 2027, project below-normal activity driven by emerging El Niño conditions that elevate vertical wind shear across the main development region. Official outlooks call for 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and just 1–3 major hurricanes (Category 3–5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), below 1991–2020 averages, with CSU’s June update lowering totals further to 11 storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 majors while explicitly assigning below-average U.S. major-hurricane landfall odds. Early-season conditions align with historical analogs featuring suppressed intensification, and no observational data yet contradict the consensus that Category 4 systems capable of U.S. landfall remain unlikely.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
마켓 개설일: Dec 29, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
거래량
$332,933종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 29, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic season, which runs through November 30 and is the only period before 2027, project below-normal activity driven by emerging El Niño conditions that elevate vertical wind shear across the main development region. Official outlooks call for 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and just 1–3 major hurricanes (Category 3–5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), below 1991–2020 averages, with CSU’s June update lowering totals further to 11 storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 majors while explicitly assigning below-average U.S. major-hurricane landfall odds. Early-season conditions align with historical analogs featuring suppressed intensification, and no observational data yet contradict the consensus that Category 4 systems capable of U.S. landfall remain unlikely.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
거래량
$332,933종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 29, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic season, which runs through November 30 and is the only period before 2027, project below-normal activity driven by emerging El Niño conditions that elevate vertical wind shear across the main development region. Official outlooks call for 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and just 1–3 major hurricanes (Category 3–5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale), below 1991–2020 averages, with CSU’s June update lowering totals further to 11 storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 majors while explicitly assigning below-average U.S. major-hurricane landfall odds. Early-season conditions align with historical analogs featuring suppressed intensification, and no observational data yet contradict the consensus that Category 4 systems capable of U.S. landfall remain unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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