Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a foldable iPhone release before 2027 at an 85% implied probability, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming Apple's progress through engineering validation testing and into trial production for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors detailed how the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra with a seamless ~9mm folded design, dual 48MP cameras, and premium pricing over $2,000—overcame early April delays, bolstering confidence despite historical foldable timeline slips from rivals like Samsung. Limited initial supply and just two color options signal constrained rollout, while Apple's pattern of fall hardware events keeps odds elevated; lingering risks include final manufacturing hurdles or regulatory snags that could push availability into early 2027. Watch for WWDC 2026 teases as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$161,291 거래량
$161,291 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$161,291 거래량
$161,291 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a foldable iPhone release before 2027 at an 85% implied probability, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming Apple's progress through engineering validation testing and into trial production for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors detailed how the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra with a seamless ~9mm folded design, dual 48MP cameras, and premium pricing over $2,000—overcame early April delays, bolstering confidence despite historical foldable timeline slips from rivals like Samsung. Limited initial supply and just two color options signal constrained rollout, while Apple's pattern of fall hardware events keeps odds elevated; lingering risks include final manufacturing hurdles or regulatory snags that could push availability into early 2027. Watch for WWDC 2026 teases as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
거래량
$161,291종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a foldable iPhone release before 2027 at an 85% implied probability, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming Apple's progress through engineering validation testing and into trial production for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors detailed how the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra with a seamless ~9mm folded design, dual 48MP cameras, and premium pricing over $2,000—overcame early April delays, bolstering confidence despite historical foldable timeline slips from rivals like Samsung. Limited initial supply and just two color options signal constrained rollout, while Apple's pattern of fall hardware events keeps odds elevated; lingering risks include final manufacturing hurdles or regulatory snags that could push availability into early 2027. Watch for WWDC 2026 teases as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$161,291종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced a foldable iPhone release before 2027 at an 85% implied probability, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming Apple's progress through engineering validation testing and into trial production for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors detailed how the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra with a seamless ~9mm folded design, dual 48MP cameras, and premium pricing over $2,000—overcame early April delays, bolstering confidence despite historical foldable timeline slips from rivals like Samsung. Limited initial supply and just two color options signal constrained rollout, while Apple's pattern of fall hardware events keeps odds elevated; lingering risks include final manufacturing hurdles or regulatory snags that could push availability into early 2027. Watch for WWDC 2026 teases as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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