Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will Little Joe escape again?
Will Little Joe escape again?
신규
신규
2026.07.31
신규
신규
2026.07.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$1,607종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
거래량
$1,607종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문