The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$22,328 거래량
$22,328 거래량
2026.06.30
$22,328 거래량
$22,328 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
거래량
$22,328종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
거래량
$22,328종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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