Ongoing military clashes between Sudan's Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), controlling Khartoum and the east, and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), dominant in the west, perpetuate a fourth-year civil war stalemate with no permanent ceasefire in sight. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands as of May 13, while U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio urged a humanitarian truce around May 9 amid famine affecting millions and 13 million displaced. Peace efforts, including UN appeals and a Sudanese peace plan unveiled in May, falter over preconditions like RSF withdrawals, with prior talks collapsing in March. International pledges of $1.5-1.8 billion for aid remain underfunded at 17%, underscoring the abandoned crisis; traders weigh persistent impasse against potential diplomatic breakthroughs absent scheduled summits.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$92,656 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
13%
2026년 12월 31일
16%
$92,656 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$33,217 거래량
13%
2026년 12월 31일
$291 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing military clashes between Sudan's Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), controlling Khartoum and the east, and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), dominant in the west, perpetuate a fourth-year civil war stalemate with no permanent ceasefire in sight. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands as of May 13, while U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio urged a humanitarian truce around May 9 amid famine affecting millions and 13 million displaced. Peace efforts, including UN appeals and a Sudanese peace plan unveiled in May, falter over preconditions like RSF withdrawals, with prior talks collapsing in March. International pledges of $1.5-1.8 billion for aid remain underfunded at 17%, underscoring the abandoned crisis; traders weigh persistent impasse against potential diplomatic breakthroughs absent scheduled summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
거래량
$92,656종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing military clashes between Sudan's Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), controlling Khartoum and the east, and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), dominant in the west, perpetuate a fourth-year civil war stalemate with no permanent ceasefire in sight. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands as of May 13, while U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio urged a humanitarian truce around May 9 amid famine affecting millions and 13 million displaced. Peace efforts, including UN appeals and a Sudanese peace plan unveiled in May, falter over preconditions like RSF withdrawals, with prior talks collapsing in March. International pledges of $1.5-1.8 billion for aid remain underfunded at 17%, underscoring the abandoned crisis; traders weigh persistent impasse against potential diplomatic breakthroughs absent scheduled summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
거래량
$92,656종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military clashes between Sudan's Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), controlling Khartoum and the east, and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), dominant in the west, perpetuate a fourth-year civil war stalemate with no permanent ceasefire in sight. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands as of May 13, while U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio urged a humanitarian truce around May 9 amid famine affecting millions and 13 million displaced. Peace efforts, including UN appeals and a Sudanese peace plan unveiled in May, falter over preconditions like RSF withdrawals, with prior talks collapsing in March. International pledges of $1.5-1.8 billion for aid remain underfunded at 17%, underscoring the abandoned crisis; traders weigh persistent impasse against potential diplomatic breakthroughs absent scheduled summits.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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