The United States has conducted sustained military operations against Iran since late February 2026 without seeking a formal congressional declaration of war, relying instead on executive authorities amid strikes targeting nuclear and military sites. A temporary ceasefire reached in early April has held tenuously through May despite repeated testing in the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian missile and drone incidents, and fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Negotiations remain deadlocked over enriched uranium stockpiles, with President Trump describing the truce as under severe strain while both sides pursue mediated talks. These developments have kept formal war declarations off the immediate agenda, as traders weigh the preference for targeted pressure and diplomacy against risks of rapid escalation from any breach of the fragile truce.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$7,522,027 거래량
2026.12.31
12월 31일
8%
$7,522,027 거래량
12월 31일
$549,393 거래량
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States has conducted sustained military operations against Iran since late February 2026 without seeking a formal congressional declaration of war, relying instead on executive authorities amid strikes targeting nuclear and military sites. A temporary ceasefire reached in early April has held tenuously through May despite repeated testing in the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian missile and drone incidents, and fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Negotiations remain deadlocked over enriched uranium stockpiles, with President Trump describing the truce as under severe strain while both sides pursue mediated talks. These developments have kept formal war declarations off the immediate agenda, as traders weigh the preference for targeted pressure and diplomacy against risks of rapid escalation from any breach of the fragile truce.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
거래량
$7,522,027종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States has conducted sustained military operations against Iran since late February 2026 without seeking a formal congressional declaration of war, relying instead on executive authorities amid strikes targeting nuclear and military sites. A temporary ceasefire reached in early April has held tenuously through May despite repeated testing in the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian missile and drone incidents, and fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Negotiations remain deadlocked over enriched uranium stockpiles, with President Trump describing the truce as under severe strain while both sides pursue mediated talks. These developments have kept formal war declarations off the immediate agenda, as traders weigh the preference for targeted pressure and diplomacy against risks of rapid escalation from any breach of the fragile truce.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7,522,027종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has conducted sustained military operations against Iran since late February 2026 without seeking a formal congressional declaration of war, relying instead on executive authorities amid strikes targeting nuclear and military sites. A temporary ceasefire reached in early April has held tenuously through May despite repeated testing in the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian missile and drone incidents, and fresh U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Negotiations remain deadlocked over enriched uranium stockpiles, with President Trump describing the truce as under severe strain while both sides pursue mediated talks. These developments have kept formal war declarations off the immediate agenda, as traders weigh the preference for targeted pressure and diplomacy against risks of rapid escalation from any breach of the fragile truce.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문