Despite US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets that began February 28, 2026, and subsequent military operations under the ongoing conflict, Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war as required by the Constitution. Recent developments center on diplomatic efforts, including a temporary ceasefire announced in early April and Iran's review of a US proposal in early May 2026 that offers sanctions relief and asset releases in exchange for nuclear program limits and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled talks or future escalation could prompt congressional authorization, with upcoming negotiation rounds and potential military pressure points remaining key variables through mid-2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$7,523,564 거래량
2026.12.31
12월 31일
7%
$7,523,564 거래량
12월 31일
$550,930 거래량
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets that began February 28, 2026, and subsequent military operations under the ongoing conflict, Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war as required by the Constitution. Recent developments center on diplomatic efforts, including a temporary ceasefire announced in early April and Iran's review of a US proposal in early May 2026 that offers sanctions relief and asset releases in exchange for nuclear program limits and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled talks or future escalation could prompt congressional authorization, with upcoming negotiation rounds and potential military pressure points remaining key variables through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
거래량
$7,523,564종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets that began February 28, 2026, and subsequent military operations under the ongoing conflict, Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war as required by the Constitution. Recent developments center on diplomatic efforts, including a temporary ceasefire announced in early April and Iran's review of a US proposal in early May 2026 that offers sanctions relief and asset releases in exchange for nuclear program limits and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled talks or future escalation could prompt congressional authorization, with upcoming negotiation rounds and potential military pressure points remaining key variables through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7,523,564종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets that began February 28, 2026, and subsequent military operations under the ongoing conflict, Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war as required by the Constitution. Recent developments center on diplomatic efforts, including a temporary ceasefire announced in early April and Iran's review of a US proposal in early May 2026 that offers sanctions relief and asset releases in exchange for nuclear program limits and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled talks or future escalation could prompt congressional authorization, with upcoming negotiation rounds and potential military pressure points remaining key variables through mid-2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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