The 2026 FIFA World Cup draw placed the USMNT in Group D alongside Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye, a matchup widely viewed as manageable for a host nation with home-soil advantages at venues like SoFi Stadium. Mauricio Pochettino’s recently finalized squad features established contributors such as Christian Pulisic, Weston McKennie, and Tyler Adams alongside emerging depth in attack and defense, supporting expectations of topping the group and advancing comfortably into the knockout phase. The expanded 48-team format further aids progression past the group stage, yet historical patterns show the Americans typically exiting in the Round of 16 against stronger opposition. Trader pricing remains tightly clustered because recent form, roster cohesion, and the bracket’s middle-tier opponents create roughly even implied probabilities for an early knockout exit versus a deeper run, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in both upside from home support and the inherent variance of single-elimination soccer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Round of 32 34%
Round of 16 31%
Quarterfinals 21%
Group Stage 13%
Round of 32
37%
Round of 16
33%
Quarterfinals
21%
Group Stage
13%
Semifinals
5%
Final
2%
Champion
2%
Round of 32 34%
Round of 16 31%
Quarterfinals 21%
Group Stage 13%
Round of 32
37%
Round of 16
33%
Quarterfinals
21%
Group Stage
13%
Semifinals
5%
Final
2%
Champion
2%
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 FIFA World Cup draw placed the USMNT in Group D alongside Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye, a matchup widely viewed as manageable for a host nation with home-soil advantages at venues like SoFi Stadium. Mauricio Pochettino’s recently finalized squad features established contributors such as Christian Pulisic, Weston McKennie, and Tyler Adams alongside emerging depth in attack and defense, supporting expectations of topping the group and advancing comfortably into the knockout phase. The expanded 48-team format further aids progression past the group stage, yet historical patterns show the Americans typically exiting in the Round of 16 against stronger opposition. Trader pricing remains tightly clustered because recent form, roster cohesion, and the bracket’s middle-tier opponents create roughly even implied probabilities for an early knockout exit versus a deeper run, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in both upside from home support and the inherent variance of single-elimination soccer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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