Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKimi Antonelli 38.1%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$150,148,969 Wol.
$150,148,969 Wol.
Dec 6, 2026
Kimi Antonelli
38%
George Russell
31%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.1%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$150,148,969 Wol.
$150,148,969 Wol.
Dec 6, 2026
Kimi Antonelli
$3,046,258 Wol.
38%
George Russell
$1,763,086 Wol.
31%
Lando Norris
$2,160,719 Wol.
12%
Max Verstappen
$2,011,232 Wol.
6%
Oscar Piastri
$1,797,771 Wol.
5%
Charles Leclerc
$2,879,156 Wol.
5%
Lewis Hamilton
$3,833,740 Wol.
2%
Fernando Alonso
$7,060,282 Wol.
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$7,589,838 Wol.
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
$6,550,391 Wol.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
$10,011,290 Wol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$9,030,005 Wol.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
$10,229,354 Wol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$9,807,913 Wol.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
$10,312,547 Wol.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
$8,830,784 Wol.
<1%
Liam Lawson
$9,230,585 Wol.
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$8,733,241 Wol.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
$8,695,146 Wol.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$6,885,497 Wol.
<1%
Lance Stroll
$9,738,811 Wol.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
$9,956,426 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$150,148,969Data zakończenia
Dec 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Wolumen
$150,148,969Data zakończenia
Dec 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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