Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

icon for AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

$44,279 Wol.

Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$44,279 Wol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$22,204 Wol.

2%

December 31, 2027

$22,075 Wol.

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s June 2026 unveiling of its AI1 orbital compute satellite and FCC filing for up to one million such spacecraft have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on whether a qualifying orbital AI data center—at least 100 data-center-grade GPUs or TPUs—will launch by late 2027. Starcloud’s November 2025 Starcloud-1 mission successfully ran inference and small-model training on a single Nvidia H100 in orbit, with a multi-GPU follow-on planned for October 2026, while Google’s Project Suncatcher and Blue Origin’s Project Sunrise target prototype clusters in 2027. These efforts leverage continuous solar power and radiative cooling unavailable on Earth, yet scale remains limited by launch cadence, radiation hardening, inter-satellite laser links, and regulatory milestones. Traders view 2026 as improbable given current hardware counts, while 2027 odds reflect credible near-term demonstrations from multiple well-funded players.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$44,279
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028
Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s June 2026 unveiling of its AI1 orbital compute satellite and FCC filing for up to one million such spacecraft have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on whether a qualifying orbital AI data center—at least 100 data-center-grade GPUs or TPUs—will launch by late 2027. Starcloud’s November 2025 Starcloud-1 mission successfully ran inference and small-model training on a single Nvidia H100 in orbit, with a multi-GPU follow-on planned for October 2026, while Google’s Project Suncatcher and Blue Origin’s Project Sunrise target prototype clusters in 2027. These efforts leverage continuous solar power and radiative cooling unavailable on Earth, yet scale remains limited by launch cadence, radiation hardening, inter-satellite laser links, and regulatory milestones. Traders view 2026 as improbable given current hardware counts, while 2027 odds reflect credible near-term demonstrations from multiple well-funded players.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$44,279
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028
Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"AI data center in space by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31, 2027" z 18%, za nim "December 31, 2026" z 2%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 18¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 18% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "AI data center in space by...?" wygenerował $44.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 14, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "AI data center in space by...?", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "AI data center in space by...?" jest "December 31, 2027" z 18%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 18% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "December 31, 2026" z 2%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "AI data center in space by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.