Anthropic's early September releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the 77.5% market-implied odds, as these models lead multiple independent benchmarks including Terminal-Bench and composite leaderboards while demonstrating strong agentic and coding performance. Recent internal metrics showing Claude handling 26% of Anthropic's AI R&D tasks, up sharply from early 2026, reinforce perceptions of accelerating self-improvement capabilities. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3 with notable cybersecurity and reasoning gains, trails in current evaluations despite some enterprise adoption, while Google and Meta updates have not shifted the frontier. Traders appear to anticipate Anthropic sustaining this edge through November absent major surprises from competitors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 9%
Google 7%
SpaceXAI 4.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
9%
7%
SpaceXAI
4%
Mistral
4%
Alibaba
4%
Baidu
4%
Amazon
4%
ByteDance
4%
StepFun
3%
Moonshot
3%
Z.ai
3%
DeepSeek
3%
Tencent
3%
Nvidia
3%
MiniMax
3%
Meituan
2%
Meta
1%
Thinky
1%
Microsoft
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 9%
Google 7%
SpaceXAI 4.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$713 Wol.
78%
OpenAI
$328 Wol.
9%
$211 Wol.
7%
SpaceXAI
$125 Wol.
4%
Mistral
$106 Wol.
4%
Alibaba
$61 Wol.
4%
Baidu
$157 Wol.
4%
Amazon
$158 Wol.
4%
ByteDance
$149 Wol.
4%
StepFun
$186 Wol.
3%
Moonshot
$123 Wol.
3%
Z.ai
$51 Wol.
3%
DeepSeek
$51 Wol.
3%
Tencent
$51 Wol.
3%
Nvidia
$158 Wol.
3%
MiniMax
$51 Wol.
3%
Meituan
$51 Wol.
2%
Meta
$118 Wol.
1%
Thinky
$156 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$120 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$123 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's early September releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the 77.5% market-implied odds, as these models lead multiple independent benchmarks including Terminal-Bench and composite leaderboards while demonstrating strong agentic and coding performance. Recent internal metrics showing Claude handling 26% of Anthropic's AI R&D tasks, up sharply from early 2026, reinforce perceptions of accelerating self-improvement capabilities. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3 with notable cybersecurity and reasoning gains, trails in current evaluations despite some enterprise adoption, while Google and Meta updates have not shifted the frontier. Traders appear to anticipate Anthropic sustaining this edge through November absent major surprises from competitors.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,247Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's early September releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the 77.5% market-implied odds, as these models lead multiple independent benchmarks including Terminal-Bench and composite leaderboards while demonstrating strong agentic and coding performance. Recent internal metrics showing Claude handling 26% of Anthropic's AI R&D tasks, up sharply from early 2026, reinforce perceptions of accelerating self-improvement capabilities. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3 with notable cybersecurity and reasoning gains, trails in current evaluations despite some enterprise adoption, while Google and Meta updates have not shifted the frontier. Traders appear to anticipate Anthropic sustaining this edge through November absent major surprises from competitors.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$3,247Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's early September releases of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 have driven the 77.5% market-implied odds, as these models lead multiple independent benchmarks including Terminal-Bench and composite leaderboards while demonstrating strong agentic and coding performance. Recent internal metrics showing Claude handling 26% of Anthropic's AI R&D tasks, up sharply from early 2026, reinforce perceptions of accelerating self-improvement capabilities. OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, released September 3 with notable cybersecurity and reasoning gains, trails in current evaluations despite some enterprise adoption, while Google and Meta updates have not shifted the frontier. Traders appear to anticipate Anthropic sustaining this edge through November absent major surprises from competitors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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