Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run-rate revenue reaching $65 billion by late July 2026 from roughly $9 billion at end-2025, underpins trader focus on the $2.0–2.5 trillion market-cap buckets that hold the highest implied probabilities. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and reported October Nasdaq listing target, aiming to raise up to $100 billion at approximately $2 trillion, align with this pricing while Nvidia’s potential $10 billion anchor investment and stakes held by Amazon and Alphabet add structural support. Valuation multiples applied to 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, alongside broader AI sector sentiment and final roadshow demand, remain key swing factors that keep probabilities closely distributed across the $1.75–2.75 trillion range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$2.25–$2.5T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 23.2%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.2%
$765,863 Wol.
$765,863 Wol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
23%
$2.25–$2.5T
26%
$2.5–$2.75T
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$2.25–$2.5T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 23.2%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.2%
$765,863 Wol.
$765,863 Wol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
23%
$2.25–$2.5T
26%
$2.5–$2.75T
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion, with annualized run-rate revenue reaching $65 billion by late July 2026 from roughly $9 billion at end-2025, underpins trader focus on the $2.0–2.5 trillion market-cap buckets that hold the highest implied probabilities. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and reported October Nasdaq listing target, aiming to raise up to $100 billion at approximately $2 trillion, align with this pricing while Nvidia’s potential $10 billion anchor investment and stakes held by Amazon and Alphabet add structural support. Valuation multiples applied to 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, alongside broader AI sector sentiment and final roadshow demand, remain key swing factors that keep probabilities closely distributed across the $1.75–2.75 trillion range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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