SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, the largest on record, anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for the year's biggest debut by market cap. Its $18.7 billion 2025 revenue, Starlink profitability, and post-listing trading above $2 trillion reinforce this positioning, though the fixed-price structure and limited float introduced volatility. Anthropic's planned October or fall listing, with backers targeting over $2 trillion based on a $965 billion May private round and surging AI revenue run-rates, sustains its 36% odds as the key swing factor that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's February merger into SpaceX eliminates it as a standalone contender, while negligible probabilities for OpenAI and others reflect absent 2026 timelines or comparable scale.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNajwiększa pierwsza oferta publiczna według pułapów rynkowych w 2026 roku?
Największa pierwsza oferta publiczna według pułapów rynkowych w 2026 roku?
SpaceX 65%
Anthropic 36.0%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,402,548 Wol.
$5,402,548 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
65%
Anthropic
36%
OpenAI
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 65%
Anthropic 36.0%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,402,548 Wol.
$5,402,548 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$735,435 Wol.
65%
Anthropic
$773,345 Wol.
36%
OpenAI
$476,133 Wol.
<1%
Discord
$176,728 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$208,389 Wol.
<1%
Stripe
$128,175 Wol.
<1%
Kraken
$655,953 Wol.
<1%
SHEIN
$581,615 Wol.
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 Wol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 Wol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 Wol.
<1%
Databricks
$613,053 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, the largest on record, anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for the year's biggest debut by market cap. Its $18.7 billion 2025 revenue, Starlink profitability, and post-listing trading above $2 trillion reinforce this positioning, though the fixed-price structure and limited float introduced volatility. Anthropic's planned October or fall listing, with backers targeting over $2 trillion based on a $965 billion May private round and surging AI revenue run-rates, sustains its 36% odds as the key swing factor that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's February merger into SpaceX eliminates it as a standalone contender, while negligible probabilities for OpenAI and others reflect absent 2026 timelines or comparable scale.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,402,548Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, the largest on record, anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for the year's biggest debut by market cap. Its $18.7 billion 2025 revenue, Starlink profitability, and post-listing trading above $2 trillion reinforce this positioning, though the fixed-price structure and limited float introduced volatility. Anthropic's planned October or fall listing, with backers targeting over $2 trillion based on a $965 billion May private round and surging AI revenue run-rates, sustains its 36% odds as the key swing factor that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's February merger into SpaceX eliminates it as a standalone contender, while negligible probabilities for OpenAI and others reflect absent 2026 timelines or comparable scale.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$5,402,548Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, the largest on record, anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for the year's biggest debut by market cap. Its $18.7 billion 2025 revenue, Starlink profitability, and post-listing trading above $2 trillion reinforce this positioning, though the fixed-price structure and limited float introduced volatility. Anthropic's planned October or fall listing, with backers targeting over $2 trillion based on a $965 billion May private round and surging AI revenue run-rates, sustains its 36% odds as the key swing factor that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's February merger into SpaceX eliminates it as a standalone contender, while negligible probabilities for OpenAI and others reflect absent 2026 timelines or comparable scale.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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