Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$56,998 Wol.
$56,998 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$56,998 Wol.
$56,998 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,998Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$56,998Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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