Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16, which delivered notable gains in advanced software engineering and long-context agentic workflows, continues to anchor trader sentiment at a 69.5% implied probability for the strongest large language model by end of June. Developers highlight its consistent performance on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and its reliability for complex, multi-step tasks that require minimal supervision. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general reasoning indexes but has yet to shift consensus on production coding use cases. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series maintains competitive benchmark scores yet trails in developer adoption metrics. With no major new frontier releases announced in the past two weeks, upcoming developer conferences and fresh leaderboard updates remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóra firma ma najlepszy model sztucznej inteligencji pod koniec czerwca?
Która firma ma najlepszy model sztucznej inteligencji pod koniec czerwca?
Anthropic 69.4%
Google 22%
OpenAI 7%
xAI 1.4%
$5,901,702 Wol.
$5,901,702 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
69%
22%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 69.4%
Google 22%
OpenAI 7%
xAI 1.4%
$5,901,702 Wol.
$5,901,702 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$833,959 Wol.
69%
$526,665 Wol.
22%
OpenAI
$335,778 Wol.
7%
xAI
$1,060,952 Wol.
1%
Meta
$131,315 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$499,324 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$158,413 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$298,052 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$477,686 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$151,582 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$155,089 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$375,759 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$359,482 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$377,377 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$160,271 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16, which delivered notable gains in advanced software engineering and long-context agentic workflows, continues to anchor trader sentiment at a 69.5% implied probability for the strongest large language model by end of June. Developers highlight its consistent performance on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and its reliability for complex, multi-step tasks that require minimal supervision. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general reasoning indexes but has yet to shift consensus on production coding use cases. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series maintains competitive benchmark scores yet trails in developer adoption metrics. With no major new frontier releases announced in the past two weeks, upcoming developer conferences and fresh leaderboard updates remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,901,702Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16, which delivered notable gains in advanced software engineering and long-context agentic workflows, continues to anchor trader sentiment at a 69.5% implied probability for the strongest large language model by end of June. Developers highlight its consistent performance on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and its reliability for complex, multi-step tasks that require minimal supervision. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general reasoning indexes but has yet to shift consensus on production coding use cases. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series maintains competitive benchmark scores yet trails in developer adoption metrics. With no major new frontier releases announced in the past two weeks, upcoming developer conferences and fresh leaderboard updates remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$5,901,702Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16, which delivered notable gains in advanced software engineering and long-context agentic workflows, continues to anchor trader sentiment at a 69.5% implied probability for the strongest large language model by end of June. Developers highlight its consistent performance on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and its reliability for complex, multi-step tasks that require minimal supervision. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general reasoning indexes but has yet to shift consensus on production coding use cases. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series maintains competitive benchmark scores yet trails in developer adoption metrics. With no major new frontier releases announced in the past two weeks, upcoming developer conferences and fresh leaderboard updates remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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