OpenAI's recent release of GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5, solidified its frontier AI leadership with gains in reasoning, coding, and efficiency, topping key benchmarks against rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini. Trader sentiment reflects this momentum, bolstered by reports of internal testing on GPT-5.6 checkpoints as of May 13, signaling potential acceleration in release cadence amid intensifying competition from xAI and DeepSeek. The launch of OpenAI's Deployment Company three days ago aims to embed frontier AI in enterprises, while upcoming events like developer previews or regulatory reviews on specialized models such as GPT-5.5-Cyber could trigger the next major update, though timelines remain fluid due to training uncertainties and safety evaluations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
NOWE
May 31, 2026
May 31
24%
June 30
84%
September 30
93%
$9,511 Wol.
May 31
$2,156 Wol.
24%
June 30
$2,303 Wol.
84%
September 30
$5,051 Wol.
93%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent release of GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5, solidified its frontier AI leadership with gains in reasoning, coding, and efficiency, topping key benchmarks against rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini. Trader sentiment reflects this momentum, bolstered by reports of internal testing on GPT-5.6 checkpoints as of May 13, signaling potential acceleration in release cadence amid intensifying competition from xAI and DeepSeek. The launch of OpenAI's Deployment Company three days ago aims to embed frontier AI in enterprises, while upcoming events like developer previews or regulatory reviews on specialized models such as GPT-5.5-Cyber could trigger the next major update, though timelines remain fluid due to training uncertainties and safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,511Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent release of GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5, solidified its frontier AI leadership with gains in reasoning, coding, and efficiency, topping key benchmarks against rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini. Trader sentiment reflects this momentum, bolstered by reports of internal testing on GPT-5.6 checkpoints as of May 13, signaling potential acceleration in release cadence amid intensifying competition from xAI and DeepSeek. The launch of OpenAI's Deployment Company three days ago aims to embed frontier AI in enterprises, while upcoming events like developer previews or regulatory reviews on specialized models such as GPT-5.5-Cyber could trigger the next major update, though timelines remain fluid due to training uncertainties and safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$9,511Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's recent release of GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026, followed by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5, solidified its frontier AI leadership with gains in reasoning, coding, and efficiency, topping key benchmarks against rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini. Trader sentiment reflects this momentum, bolstered by reports of internal testing on GPT-5.6 checkpoints as of May 13, signaling potential acceleration in release cadence amid intensifying competition from xAI and DeepSeek. The launch of OpenAI's Deployment Company three days ago aims to embed frontier AI in enterprises, while upcoming events like developer previews or regulatory reviews on specialized models such as GPT-5.5-Cyber could trigger the next major update, though timelines remain fluid due to training uncertainties and safety evaluations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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