Trader consensus places Anthropic as the strong leader for the company behind the second-best AI model by end of June, with its 74.5% implied probability reflecting sustained gains in large language model reasoning, coding performance, and safety benchmarks that have narrowed the gap with top competitors. Recent model iterations have delivered measurable improvements in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates, reinforcing trader views that Anthropic will hold this position through the deadline. Google sits at 18.5% on the strength of Gemini ecosystem integrations and steady capability lifts, while OpenAI at 7.5% faces expectations of only incremental updates ahead of any major release. The next several weeks of benchmark disclosures and developer feedback represent the primary swing factors that could still alter these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has second best AI model end of June?
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic 74%
Google 19%
OpenAI 7.6%
xAI 2.6%
$400,291 Wol.
$400,291 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
74%
19%
OpenAI
8%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Microsoft
1%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 74%
Google 19%
OpenAI 7.6%
xAI 2.6%
$400,291 Wol.
$400,291 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$14,660 Wol.
74%
$5,606 Wol.
19%
OpenAI
$34,197 Wol.
8%
xAI
$14,881 Wol.
3%
DeepSeek
$248,799 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$5,532 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$6,585 Wol.
1%
Meta
$4,175 Wol.
1%
Moonshot
$4,912 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,388 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$9,312 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$34,076 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$5,546 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$4,723 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,898 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus places Anthropic as the strong leader for the company behind the second-best AI model by end of June, with its 74.5% implied probability reflecting sustained gains in large language model reasoning, coding performance, and safety benchmarks that have narrowed the gap with top competitors. Recent model iterations have delivered measurable improvements in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates, reinforcing trader views that Anthropic will hold this position through the deadline. Google sits at 18.5% on the strength of Gemini ecosystem integrations and steady capability lifts, while OpenAI at 7.5% faces expectations of only incremental updates ahead of any major release. The next several weeks of benchmark disclosures and developer feedback represent the primary swing factors that could still alter these odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$400,291Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus places Anthropic as the strong leader for the company behind the second-best AI model by end of June, with its 74.5% implied probability reflecting sustained gains in large language model reasoning, coding performance, and safety benchmarks that have narrowed the gap with top competitors. Recent model iterations have delivered measurable improvements in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates, reinforcing trader views that Anthropic will hold this position through the deadline. Google sits at 18.5% on the strength of Gemini ecosystem integrations and steady capability lifts, while OpenAI at 7.5% faces expectations of only incremental updates ahead of any major release. The next several weeks of benchmark disclosures and developer feedback represent the primary swing factors that could still alter these odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$400,291Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus places Anthropic as the strong leader for the company behind the second-best AI model by end of June, with its 74.5% implied probability reflecting sustained gains in large language model reasoning, coding performance, and safety benchmarks that have narrowed the gap with top competitors. Recent model iterations have delivered measurable improvements in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates, reinforcing trader views that Anthropic will hold this position through the deadline. Google sits at 18.5% on the strength of Gemini ecosystem integrations and steady capability lifts, while OpenAI at 7.5% faces expectations of only incremental updates ahead of any major release. The next several weeks of benchmark disclosures and developer feedback represent the primary swing factors that could still alter these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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