Apple's consistent annual September launch cycle and multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for fall release drive the 97.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. The company plans to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone in September, with pre-orders and sales following the typical pattern around a September 9 keynote. While the standard iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027, the Pro variants qualify under the series naming and timeline. Realistic disruptions remain limited to minor supply-chain delays or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though Apple's track record and ongoing preparations make these low-probability outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
98% szansa
$170,158 Wol.
$170,158 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
98% szansa
$170,158 Wol.
$170,158 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual September launch cycle and multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for fall release drive the 97.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. The company plans to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone in September, with pre-orders and sales following the typical pattern around a September 9 keynote. While the standard iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027, the Pro variants qualify under the series naming and timeline. Realistic disruptions remain limited to minor supply-chain delays or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though Apple's track record and ongoing preparations make these low-probability outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$170,158Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual September launch cycle and multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for fall release drive the 97.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. The company plans to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone in September, with pre-orders and sales following the typical pattern around a September 9 keynote. While the standard iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027, the Pro variants qualify under the series naming and timeline. Realistic disruptions remain limited to minor supply-chain delays or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though Apple's track record and ongoing preparations make these low-probability outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$170,158Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual September launch cycle and multiple credible reports from July 2026 confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for fall release drive the 97.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. The company plans to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone in September, with pre-orders and sales following the typical pattern around a September 9 keynote. While the standard iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027, the Pro variants qualify under the series naming and timeline. Realistic disruptions remain limited to minor supply-chain delays or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though Apple's track record and ongoing preparations make these low-probability outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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