OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion by mid-2026 after doubling from year-end 2025 levels, underpins trader sentiment around its eventual IPO valuation, even as the company’s $852 billion March private mark and Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor create tension with public-market realities. Persistent GAAP losses near $39 billion in 2025, heavy compute and R&D outlays, and the September 2026 listing window passing without a debut have shifted focus to 2027 timing, with enterprise revenue now surpassing consumer contributions and 1 billion-plus weekly users providing growth momentum. Closely matched market-implied odds across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets reflect uncertainty over multiples, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, and absorption of projected losses, while upcoming catalysts include further earnings inflection data and regulatory filings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.8%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,136 Wol.
$124,136 Wol.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
15%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.8%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,136 Wol.
$124,136 Wol.
Jun 30, 2027
<$1T
$15,466 Wol.
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,056 Wol.
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,920 Wol.
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,078 Wol.
18%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 Wol.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 Wol.
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 Wol.
5%
$2.5T+
$57,641 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion by mid-2026 after doubling from year-end 2025 levels, underpins trader sentiment around its eventual IPO valuation, even as the company’s $852 billion March private mark and Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor create tension with public-market realities. Persistent GAAP losses near $39 billion in 2025, heavy compute and R&D outlays, and the September 2026 listing window passing without a debut have shifted focus to 2027 timing, with enterprise revenue now surpassing consumer contributions and 1 billion-plus weekly users providing growth momentum. Closely matched market-implied odds across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets reflect uncertainty over multiples, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, and absorption of projected losses, while upcoming catalysts include further earnings inflection data and regulatory filings.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$124,136Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion by mid-2026 after doubling from year-end 2025 levels, underpins trader sentiment around its eventual IPO valuation, even as the company’s $852 billion March private mark and Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor create tension with public-market realities. Persistent GAAP losses near $39 billion in 2025, heavy compute and R&D outlays, and the September 2026 listing window passing without a debut have shifted focus to 2027 timing, with enterprise revenue now surpassing consumer contributions and 1 billion-plus weekly users providing growth momentum. Closely matched market-implied odds across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets reflect uncertainty over multiples, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, and absorption of projected losses, while upcoming catalysts include further earnings inflection data and regulatory filings.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$124,136Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion by mid-2026 after doubling from year-end 2025 levels, underpins trader sentiment around its eventual IPO valuation, even as the company’s $852 billion March private mark and Altman’s reported $1 trillion floor create tension with public-market realities. Persistent GAAP losses near $39 billion in 2025, heavy compute and R&D outlays, and the September 2026 listing window passing without a debut have shifted focus to 2027 timing, with enterprise revenue now surpassing consumer contributions and 1 billion-plus weekly users providing growth momentum. Closely matched market-implied odds across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets reflect uncertainty over multiples, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, and absorption of projected losses, while upcoming catalysts include further earnings inflection data and regulatory filings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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