OpenAI’s most recent private valuation of $852 billion post-money, established via its $122 billion March 2026 funding round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap, with secondary share sales completed at that level as recently as August 2026. Revenue has reached approximately $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage now exceeding 40% of total, yet the company continues posting substantial GAAP losses amid heavy compute spending. CEO Sam Altman’s reported preference for a $1 trillion target has contributed to a shift in timeline, with the confidential S-1 filed in June 2026 now more likely supporting a 2027 debut rather than late 2026 to avoid accepting a lower valuation. Key swing factors include AI model releases, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, broader IPO market conditions, and any additional pre-IPO tenders or analyst estimates that could influence the final pricing and post-listing trading range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,517,807 Wol.
$1,517,807 Wol.
800 mld USD
89%
1 bilion dolarów
76%
1,2 bln $
60%
1,4 bln $
37%
1,6 bln USD
38%
$1,517,807 Wol.
$1,517,807 Wol.
800 mld USD
89%
1 bilion dolarów
76%
1,2 bln $
60%
1,4 bln $
37%
1,6 bln USD
38%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s most recent private valuation of $852 billion post-money, established via its $122 billion March 2026 funding round, anchors trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap, with secondary share sales completed at that level as recently as August 2026. Revenue has reached approximately $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage now exceeding 40% of total, yet the company continues posting substantial GAAP losses amid heavy compute spending. CEO Sam Altman’s reported preference for a $1 trillion target has contributed to a shift in timeline, with the confidential S-1 filed in June 2026 now more likely supporting a 2027 debut rather than late 2026 to avoid accepting a lower valuation. Key swing factors include AI model releases, competitive positioning versus Anthropic, broader IPO market conditions, and any additional pre-IPO tenders or analyst estimates that could influence the final pricing and post-listing trading range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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