OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations for the IPO market cap, with the company explicitly targeting a $1 trillion-plus debut. Revenue run-rate exceeds $24 billion annually, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API adoption that now comprises over 40% of sales, yet the firm continues to post substantial losses and requires ongoing capital raises. Market-implied odds reflect optimism from AI sector multiples and Sam Altman’s push for a premium valuation, tempered by the potential shift of the listing into 2027 and competition from Anthropic. Key near-term catalysts include any public updates on filing amendments, Q3 2026 financial metrics, and broader tech IPO sentiment tied to Treasury yields and equity volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,517,909 Wol.
$1,517,909 Wol.
800 mld USD
89%
1 bilion dolarów
76%
1,2 bln $
60%
1,4 bln $
44%
1,6 bln USD
40%
$1,517,909 Wol.
$1,517,909 Wol.
800 mld USD
89%
1 bilion dolarów
76%
1,2 bln $
60%
1,4 bln $
44%
1,6 bln USD
40%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations for the IPO market cap, with the company explicitly targeting a $1 trillion-plus debut. Revenue run-rate exceeds $24 billion annually, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API adoption that now comprises over 40% of sales, yet the firm continues to post substantial losses and requires ongoing capital raises. Market-implied odds reflect optimism from AI sector multiples and Sam Altman’s push for a premium valuation, tempered by the potential shift of the listing into 2027 and competition from Anthropic. Key near-term catalysts include any public updates on filing amendments, Q3 2026 financial metrics, and broader tech IPO sentiment tied to Treasury yields and equity volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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