Current crude oil prices, with Brent and WTI trading near $80–$90 per barrel as of early August 2026, remain well below the $147.27 all-time high recorded in 2008 for active-month futures. Geopolitical disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz earlier this year drove brief spikes above $119 in March, yet markets have since rebalanced amid recovering supply and softer demand signals from China. EIA and J.P. Morgan forecasts project averages of $85 in Q3 2026 declining toward $70–$80 by year-end, reflecting inventory rebuilds and limited sustained upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing low implied probability of breaching the record without major escalation or supply shocks. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC+ decisions, Hormuz transit data, and global demand indicators that could shift price trajectories.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCrude Oil all time high by...?
$2,483,451 Wol.
September 30
5%
December 31
13%
$2,483,451 Wol.
September 30
5%
December 31
13%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current crude oil prices, with Brent and WTI trading near $80–$90 per barrel as of early August 2026, remain well below the $147.27 all-time high recorded in 2008 for active-month futures. Geopolitical disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz earlier this year drove brief spikes above $119 in March, yet markets have since rebalanced amid recovering supply and softer demand signals from China. EIA and J.P. Morgan forecasts project averages of $85 in Q3 2026 declining toward $70–$80 by year-end, reflecting inventory rebuilds and limited sustained upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing low implied probability of breaching the record without major escalation or supply shocks. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC+ decisions, Hormuz transit data, and global demand indicators that could shift price trajectories.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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