The UAE's May 2026 exit from OPEC and OPEC+—driven by demands for greater production flexibility amid capacity growth, quota frictions with Saudi Arabia, and regional security shifts during the Iran conflict—has not triggered follow-on departures. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, have reaffirmed coordinated output adjustments through mid-2026 meetings, with Iraq publicly signaling intent to stay while seeking higher quotas rather than exit. Potential candidates such as Kazakhstan (in OPEC+) have voiced quota dissatisfaction historically but show no active withdrawal steps or timelines. Trader consensus at 91.5% on "No" reflects this lack of concrete momentum or official announcements beyond the UAE case, alongside institutional efforts to maintain cohesion despite longstanding internal tensions over spare capacity and compliance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
9% szansa
$159,694 Wol.
$159,694 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% szansa
$159,694 Wol.
$159,694 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's May 2026 exit from OPEC and OPEC+—driven by demands for greater production flexibility amid capacity growth, quota frictions with Saudi Arabia, and regional security shifts during the Iran conflict—has not triggered follow-on departures. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, have reaffirmed coordinated output adjustments through mid-2026 meetings, with Iraq publicly signaling intent to stay while seeking higher quotas rather than exit. Potential candidates such as Kazakhstan (in OPEC+) have voiced quota dissatisfaction historically but show no active withdrawal steps or timelines. Trader consensus at 91.5% on "No" reflects this lack of concrete momentum or official announcements beyond the UAE case, alongside institutional efforts to maintain cohesion despite longstanding internal tensions over spare capacity and compliance.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$159,694Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's May 2026 exit from OPEC and OPEC+—driven by demands for greater production flexibility amid capacity growth, quota frictions with Saudi Arabia, and regional security shifts during the Iran conflict—has not triggered follow-on departures. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, have reaffirmed coordinated output adjustments through mid-2026 meetings, with Iraq publicly signaling intent to stay while seeking higher quotas rather than exit. Potential candidates such as Kazakhstan (in OPEC+) have voiced quota dissatisfaction historically but show no active withdrawal steps or timelines. Trader consensus at 91.5% on "No" reflects this lack of concrete momentum or official announcements beyond the UAE case, alongside institutional efforts to maintain cohesion despite longstanding internal tensions over spare capacity and compliance.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$159,694Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE's May 2026 exit from OPEC and OPEC+—driven by demands for greater production flexibility amid capacity growth, quota frictions with Saudi Arabia, and regional security shifts during the Iran conflict—has not triggered follow-on departures. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, have reaffirmed coordinated output adjustments through mid-2026 meetings, with Iraq publicly signaling intent to stay while seeking higher quotas rather than exit. Potential candidates such as Kazakhstan (in OPEC+) have voiced quota dissatisfaction historically but show no active withdrawal steps or timelines. Trader consensus at 91.5% on "No" reflects this lack of concrete momentum or official announcements beyond the UAE case, alongside institutional efforts to maintain cohesion despite longstanding internal tensions over spare capacity and compliance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania