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Geopolityka·Olej

Houthis successfully target shipping on...?

icon for Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
Geopolityka·Olej

Houthis successfully target shipping on...?

Aug 31

Aug 31

NOWE

$27,616 Wol.

Jul 24, 2026
Polymarket

$27,616 Wol.

Polymarket

July 24

$549 Wol.

11%

July 25

$456 Wol.

13%

July 26

$1,577 Wol.

25%

July 27

$770 Wol.

19%

July 28

$709 Wol.

22%

July 29

$308 Wol.

10%

July 30

$417 Wol.

17%

July 31

$418 Wol.

11%

August 1

$1,566 Wol.

15%

August 2

$310 Wol.

13%

August 3

$1,509 Wol.

20%

August 4

$284 Wol.

15%

August 5

$258 Wol.

21%

August 6

$702 Wol.

18%

August 7

$421 Wol.

17%

August 8

$506 Wol.

16%

August 9

$421 Wol.

8%

August 10

$278 Wol.

8%

August 11

$1,028 Wol.

8%

August 12

$280 Wol.

13%

August 13

$220 Wol.

11%

August 14

$179 Wol.

13%

August 15

$1,254 Wol.

17%

August 16

$1,165 Wol.

14%

August 17

$1,230 Wol.

17%

August 18

$351 Wol.

18%

August 19

$942 Wol.

14%

August 20

$1,144 Wol.

13%

August 21

$792 Wol.

35%

August 22

$8 Wol.

42%

August 23

$65 Wol.

16%

August 24

$214 Wol.

25%

August 25

$1,533 Wol.

18%

August 26

$182 Wol.

37%

August 27

$1,101 Wol.

12%

August 28

$166 Wol.

12%

August 29

$909 Wol.

14%

August 30

$1,085 Wol.

13%

August 31

$2,309 Wol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Houthis’ July 20, 2026 announcement of a naval blockade targeting Saudi-bound vessels, followed by claims of missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers transiting the Red Sea on July 22, has revived maritime-risk premiums in the Bab el-Mandeb corridor. Traders are pricing elevated insurance surcharges, potential rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, and knock-on effects to Saudi crude export logistics and global freight rates. The absence of confirmed successful attacks since mid-2025 had previously allowed shipping volumes and tanker charter rates to normalize, but the latest threats and diversions have already lifted implied volatility in energy and dry-bulk freight markets. Key near-term catalysts include any verified damage reports, Saudi or coalition responses, and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on renewing Red Sea reporting mandates, all of which could shift trader consensus on the probability and duration of renewed disruptions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Wolumen
$27,616
Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Houthis’ July 20, 2026 announcement of a naval blockade targeting Saudi-bound vessels, followed by claims of missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers transiting the Red Sea on July 22, has revived maritime-risk premiums in the Bab el-Mandeb corridor. Traders are pricing elevated insurance surcharges, potential rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, and knock-on effects to Saudi crude export logistics and global freight rates. The absence of confirmed successful attacks since mid-2025 had previously allowed shipping volumes and tanker charter rates to normalize, but the latest threats and diversions have already lifted implied volatility in energy and dry-bulk freight markets. Key near-term catalysts include any verified damage reports, Saudi or coalition responses, and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on renewing Red Sea reporting mandates, all of which could shift trader consensus on the probability and duration of renewed disruptions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Wolumen
$27,616
Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Houthis successfully target shipping on...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 39 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "August 22" z 42%, za nim "August 26" z 37%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 42¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 42% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Houthis successfully target shipping on...?" wygenerował $27.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 23, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Houthis successfully target shipping on...?", przeglądaj 39 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Houthis successfully target shipping on...?" jest "August 22" z 42%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 42% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "August 26" z 37%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Houthis successfully target shipping on...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.