US military operations against Iran have involved airstrikes, naval blockades, and carrier deployments amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred since 1942. Recent developments include a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that briefly eased tensions before renewed Iranian shipping attacks prompted reimposed US measures, alongside ongoing intermediary messaging and Iran-Oman talks on reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with formal declarations viewed as unlikely by year-end due to reliance on sanctions, limited strikes, and diplomatic channels rather than congressional authorization. Scheduled diplomatic progress or escalation signals could influence probabilities within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
Czy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
$7,763,861 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 grudnia
3%
$7,763,861 Wol.
31 grudnia
$791,226 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran have involved airstrikes, naval blockades, and carrier deployments amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred since 1942. Recent developments include a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that briefly eased tensions before renewed Iranian shipping attacks prompted reimposed US measures, alongside ongoing intermediary messaging and Iran-Oman talks on reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with formal declarations viewed as unlikely by year-end due to reliance on sanctions, limited strikes, and diplomatic channels rather than congressional authorization. Scheduled diplomatic progress or escalation signals could influence probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,763,861Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iran have involved airstrikes, naval blockades, and carrier deployments amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred since 1942. Recent developments include a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that briefly eased tensions before renewed Iranian shipping attacks prompted reimposed US measures, alongside ongoing intermediary messaging and Iran-Oman talks on reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with formal declarations viewed as unlikely by year-end due to reliance on sanctions, limited strikes, and diplomatic channels rather than congressional authorization. Scheduled diplomatic progress or escalation signals could influence probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$7,763,861Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iran have involved airstrikes, naval blockades, and carrier deployments amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred since 1942. Recent developments include a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that briefly eased tensions before renewed Iranian shipping attacks prompted reimposed US measures, alongside ongoing intermediary messaging and Iran-Oman talks on reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with formal declarations viewed as unlikely by year-end due to reliance on sanctions, limited strikes, and diplomatic channels rather than congressional authorization. Scheduled diplomatic progress or escalation signals could influence probabilities within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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