Tensions between Iran and several Western and Middle Eastern governments have driven repeated diplomatic expulsions, with Australia ordering out the Iranian ambassador and staff in August 2025 over alleged antisemitic attacks, the United States quietly removing the deputy UN envoy in December 2025 on national security grounds, Saudi Arabia expelling five diplomats in March 2026 amid missile-related strains, and Lebanon declaring the ambassador persona non grata the same month. France most recently announced the expulsion of two diplomats in mid-August 2026 following an assault on French officials. These actions reflect responses to security incidents, proxy conflicts involving Hezbollah, and broader diplomatic friction, creating trader focus on whether additional expulsions occur before key deadlines amid ongoing regional volatility and potential retaliatory steps.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
5%
September 30
31%
October 31
45%
$924 Wol.
August 31
$783 Wol.
5%
September 30
$40 Wol.
31%
October 31
$101 Wol.
45%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tensions between Iran and several Western and Middle Eastern governments have driven repeated diplomatic expulsions, with Australia ordering out the Iranian ambassador and staff in August 2025 over alleged antisemitic attacks, the United States quietly removing the deputy UN envoy in December 2025 on national security grounds, Saudi Arabia expelling five diplomats in March 2026 amid missile-related strains, and Lebanon declaring the ambassador persona non grata the same month. France most recently announced the expulsion of two diplomats in mid-August 2026 following an assault on French officials. These actions reflect responses to security incidents, proxy conflicts involving Hezbollah, and broader diplomatic friction, creating trader focus on whether additional expulsions occur before key deadlines amid ongoing regional volatility and potential retaliatory steps.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$924Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tensions between Iran and several Western and Middle Eastern governments have driven repeated diplomatic expulsions, with Australia ordering out the Iranian ambassador and staff in August 2025 over alleged antisemitic attacks, the United States quietly removing the deputy UN envoy in December 2025 on national security grounds, Saudi Arabia expelling five diplomats in March 2026 amid missile-related strains, and Lebanon declaring the ambassador persona non grata the same month. France most recently announced the expulsion of two diplomats in mid-August 2026 following an assault on French officials. These actions reflect responses to security incidents, proxy conflicts involving Hezbollah, and broader diplomatic friction, creating trader focus on whether additional expulsions occur before key deadlines amid ongoing regional volatility and potential retaliatory steps.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$924Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between Iran and several Western and Middle Eastern governments have driven repeated diplomatic expulsions, with Australia ordering out the Iranian ambassador and staff in August 2025 over alleged antisemitic attacks, the United States quietly removing the deputy UN envoy in December 2025 on national security grounds, Saudi Arabia expelling five diplomats in March 2026 amid missile-related strains, and Lebanon declaring the ambassador persona non grata the same month. France most recently announced the expulsion of two diplomats in mid-August 2026 following an assault on French officials. These actions reflect responses to security incidents, proxy conflicts involving Hezbollah, and broader diplomatic friction, creating trader focus on whether additional expulsions occur before key deadlines amid ongoing regional volatility and potential retaliatory steps.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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