Iran’s consistent position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable red line continues to anchor trader expectations against any binding commitment to halt the activity by year-end. Ongoing U.S.-Iran talks, including rounds through mid-2026 mediated by Oman and resulting in limited memoranda, have focused on verification, stockpiles, and temporary limits rather than permanent cessation, with Tehran rejecting U.S. proposals for a regional consortium or multi-year freeze. Recent reports of Iran relocating centrifuge equipment to fortified underground sites and resuming limited enrichment-related work further signal resistance to full dismantlement. These factors sustain the market’s assessment that agreement on total termination by December 31 is unlikely absent major diplomatic shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano14% szansa
$1,590,207 Wol.
$1,590,207 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% szansa
$1,590,207 Wol.
$1,590,207 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s consistent position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable red line continues to anchor trader expectations against any binding commitment to halt the activity by year-end. Ongoing U.S.-Iran talks, including rounds through mid-2026 mediated by Oman and resulting in limited memoranda, have focused on verification, stockpiles, and temporary limits rather than permanent cessation, with Tehran rejecting U.S. proposals for a regional consortium or multi-year freeze. Recent reports of Iran relocating centrifuge equipment to fortified underground sites and resuming limited enrichment-related work further signal resistance to full dismantlement. These factors sustain the market’s assessment that agreement on total termination by December 31 is unlikely absent major diplomatic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,590,207Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s consistent position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable red line continues to anchor trader expectations against any binding commitment to halt the activity by year-end. Ongoing U.S.-Iran talks, including rounds through mid-2026 mediated by Oman and resulting in limited memoranda, have focused on verification, stockpiles, and temporary limits rather than permanent cessation, with Tehran rejecting U.S. proposals for a regional consortium or multi-year freeze. Recent reports of Iran relocating centrifuge equipment to fortified underground sites and resuming limited enrichment-related work further signal resistance to full dismantlement. These factors sustain the market’s assessment that agreement on total termination by December 31 is unlikely absent major diplomatic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,590,207Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s consistent position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable red line continues to anchor trader expectations against any binding commitment to halt the activity by year-end. Ongoing U.S.-Iran talks, including rounds through mid-2026 mediated by Oman and resulting in limited memoranda, have focused on verification, stockpiles, and temporary limits rather than permanent cessation, with Tehran rejecting U.S. proposals for a regional consortium or multi-year freeze. Recent reports of Iran relocating centrifuge equipment to fortified underground sites and resuming limited enrichment-related work further signal resistance to full dismantlement. These factors sustain the market’s assessment that agreement on total termination by December 31 is unlikely absent major diplomatic shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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