Recent diplomatic exchanges show Iran signaling openness to a temporary pause in uranium enrichment and down-blending or transferring portions of its highly enriched stockpile in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting permanent restrictions or dismantlement of facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The United States continues pressing for a multi-year moratorium and full handover of enriched material under IAEA verification, amid ongoing indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. These core differences over enrichment limits and stockpile controls have kept trader consensus near even odds for an agreement by December 31, with potential tipping points including any breakthrough on verification terms or renewed escalation in military strikes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$194,984 Wol.
$194,984 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$194,984 Wol.
$194,984 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent diplomatic exchanges show Iran signaling openness to a temporary pause in uranium enrichment and down-blending or transferring portions of its highly enriched stockpile in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting permanent restrictions or dismantlement of facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The United States continues pressing for a multi-year moratorium and full handover of enriched material under IAEA verification, amid ongoing indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. These core differences over enrichment limits and stockpile controls have kept trader consensus near even odds for an agreement by December 31, with potential tipping points including any breakthrough on verification terms or renewed escalation in military strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$194,984Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent diplomatic exchanges show Iran signaling openness to a temporary pause in uranium enrichment and down-blending or transferring portions of its highly enriched stockpile in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting permanent restrictions or dismantlement of facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The United States continues pressing for a multi-year moratorium and full handover of enriched material under IAEA verification, amid ongoing indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. These core differences over enrichment limits and stockpile controls have kept trader consensus near even odds for an agreement by December 31, with potential tipping points including any breakthrough on verification terms or renewed escalation in military strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$194,984Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic exchanges show Iran signaling openness to a temporary pause in uranium enrichment and down-blending or transferring portions of its highly enriched stockpile in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting permanent restrictions or dismantlement of facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The United States continues pressing for a multi-year moratorium and full handover of enriched material under IAEA verification, amid ongoing indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan. These core differences over enrichment limits and stockpile controls have kept trader consensus near even odds for an agreement by December 31, with potential tipping points including any breakthrough on verification terms or renewed escalation in military strikes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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