Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end reflects stalled Ukraine mediation efforts and explicit statements from both the Kremlin and White House confirming no scheduled calls or summits in the immediate term. Recent reports indicate the U.S. extended a G20 invitation for the December Miami gathering hosted at Trump's Doral resort, though senior officials have expressed doubts about Russian attendance. Stronger China-Russia coordination, highlighted by the May 2026 Xi-Putin summit in Beijing shortly after Trump's own Beijing visit, supports the elevated probability assigned to China, potentially via APEC or bilateral channels. Multilateral venues such as Turkey or Gulf states remain secondary options tied to any revived diplomatic track, while direct meetings in Russia or the United States face structural and political constraints absent a breakthrough in ongoing talks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 19%
Russia 5%
United States 5%
$55,399 Wol.
$55,399 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
62%
China
19%
Russia
5%
United States
5%
Gulf country
3%
Turkey
3%
Switzerland
2%
Belarus
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Japan
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
No meeting by December 31 62%
China 19%
Russia 5%
United States 5%
$55,399 Wol.
$55,399 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$7,187 Wol.
62%
China
$13,546 Wol.
19%
Russia
$3,338 Wol.
5%
United States
$2,528 Wol.
5%
Gulf country
$2,544 Wol.
3%
Turkey
$3,497 Wol.
3%
Switzerland
$2,931 Wol.
2%
Belarus
$2,959 Wol.
1%
Other
$3,412 Wol.
1%
Other EU country
$2,393 Wol.
1%
Japan
$2,155 Wol.
<1%
Finland
$2,402 Wol.
<1%
South Korea
$2,135 Wol.
<1%
Australia
$2,106 Wol.
<1%
Ukraine
$2,270 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end reflects stalled Ukraine mediation efforts and explicit statements from both the Kremlin and White House confirming no scheduled calls or summits in the immediate term. Recent reports indicate the U.S. extended a G20 invitation for the December Miami gathering hosted at Trump's Doral resort, though senior officials have expressed doubts about Russian attendance. Stronger China-Russia coordination, highlighted by the May 2026 Xi-Putin summit in Beijing shortly after Trump's own Beijing visit, supports the elevated probability assigned to China, potentially via APEC or bilateral channels. Multilateral venues such as Turkey or Gulf states remain secondary options tied to any revived diplomatic track, while direct meetings in Russia or the United States face structural and political constraints absent a breakthrough in ongoing talks.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$55,399Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end reflects stalled Ukraine mediation efforts and explicit statements from both the Kremlin and White House confirming no scheduled calls or summits in the immediate term. Recent reports indicate the U.S. extended a G20 invitation for the December Miami gathering hosted at Trump's Doral resort, though senior officials have expressed doubts about Russian attendance. Stronger China-Russia coordination, highlighted by the May 2026 Xi-Putin summit in Beijing shortly after Trump's own Beijing visit, supports the elevated probability assigned to China, potentially via APEC or bilateral channels. Multilateral venues such as Turkey or Gulf states remain secondary options tied to any revived diplomatic track, while direct meetings in Russia or the United States face structural and political constraints absent a breakthrough in ongoing talks.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$55,399Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the low likelihood of a Trump-Putin bilateral meeting by year-end reflects stalled Ukraine mediation efforts and explicit statements from both the Kremlin and White House confirming no scheduled calls or summits in the immediate term. Recent reports indicate the U.S. extended a G20 invitation for the December Miami gathering hosted at Trump's Doral resort, though senior officials have expressed doubts about Russian attendance. Stronger China-Russia coordination, highlighted by the May 2026 Xi-Putin summit in Beijing shortly after Trump's own Beijing visit, supports the elevated probability assigned to China, potentially via APEC or bilateral channels. Multilateral venues such as Turkey or Gulf states remain secondary options tied to any revived diplomatic track, while direct meetings in Russia or the United States face structural and political constraints absent a breakthrough in ongoing talks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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