Recent diplomatic contacts, including U.S. envoys meeting Putin in Moscow and a September phone call between the leaders focused on Ukraine peace efforts, have elevated prospects for a 2026 bilateral summit. Trader consensus assigns China the highest probability because Kremlin officials confirmed discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC leaders’ summit scheduled for Shenzhen in November. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over whether talks will produce a formal bilateral encounter before December 31 amid stalled Ukraine negotiations and competing priorities. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or neutral venues such as Switzerland or Turkey align with the absence of announced plans for those locations and historical patterns favoring multilateral forums for high-level U.S.-Russia engagement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina 52%
No meeting by December 31 35%
United States 4.2%
Gulf country 2.2%
$1,116,673 Wol.
$1,116,673 Wol.
China
52%
No meeting by December 31
35%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 52%
No meeting by December 31 35%
United States 4.2%
Gulf country 2.2%
$1,116,673 Wol.
$1,116,673 Wol.
China
52%
No meeting by December 31
35%
United States
4%
Gulf country
2%
Other
2%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
South Korea
1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic contacts, including U.S. envoys meeting Putin in Moscow and a September phone call between the leaders focused on Ukraine peace efforts, have elevated prospects for a 2026 bilateral summit. Trader consensus assigns China the highest probability because Kremlin officials confirmed discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC leaders’ summit scheduled for Shenzhen in November. The substantial share assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over whether talks will produce a formal bilateral encounter before December 31 amid stalled Ukraine negotiations and competing priorities. Lower probabilities for the United States, Russia, or neutral venues such as Switzerland or Turkey align with the absence of announced plans for those locations and historical patterns favoring multilateral forums for high-level U.S.-Russia engagement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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