Trump’s continued tenure through December 31, 2026, reflects the high procedural barriers to removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority while conviction demands a two-thirds Senate vote—a threshold never met for any president. Current Republican congressional majorities limit near-term action, and even a likely Democratic House flip after the November 2026 midterms would leave Senate conviction improbable without bipartisan support. Isolated resolutions, such as the December 2025 measure introduced by Rep. Al Green and tabled, along with April 2026 calls tied to foreign policy statements, have not advanced. No verified signals point to resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or other succession triggers. Trader consensus at 94.5% on “No” aligns with these institutional and political realities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
6% szansa
$10,747,876 Wol.
$10,747,876 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
6% szansa
$10,747,876 Wol.
$10,747,876 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s continued tenure through December 31, 2026, reflects the high procedural barriers to removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority while conviction demands a two-thirds Senate vote—a threshold never met for any president. Current Republican congressional majorities limit near-term action, and even a likely Democratic House flip after the November 2026 midterms would leave Senate conviction improbable without bipartisan support. Isolated resolutions, such as the December 2025 measure introduced by Rep. Al Green and tabled, along with April 2026 calls tied to foreign policy statements, have not advanced. No verified signals point to resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or other succession triggers. Trader consensus at 94.5% on “No” aligns with these institutional and political realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,747,876Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s continued tenure through December 31, 2026, reflects the high procedural barriers to removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority while conviction demands a two-thirds Senate vote—a threshold never met for any president. Current Republican congressional majorities limit near-term action, and even a likely Democratic House flip after the November 2026 midterms would leave Senate conviction improbable without bipartisan support. Isolated resolutions, such as the December 2025 measure introduced by Rep. Al Green and tabled, along with April 2026 calls tied to foreign policy statements, have not advanced. No verified signals point to resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or other succession triggers. Trader consensus at 94.5% on “No” aligns with these institutional and political realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$10,747,876Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s continued tenure through December 31, 2026, reflects the high procedural barriers to removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority while conviction demands a two-thirds Senate vote—a threshold never met for any president. Current Republican congressional majorities limit near-term action, and even a likely Democratic House flip after the November 2026 midterms would leave Senate conviction improbable without bipartisan support. Isolated resolutions, such as the December 2025 measure introduced by Rep. Al Green and tabled, along with April 2026 calls tied to foreign policy statements, have not advanced. No verified signals point to resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or other succession triggers. Trader consensus at 94.5% on “No” aligns with these institutional and political realities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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