President Donald Trump's position as the duly elected incumbent, inaugurated in January 2025, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office at least through early 2027. Republican congressional majorities have reduced the viability of impeachment or removal proceedings, with no active resolutions or bipartisan momentum reported in the past month. Recent public schedules and executive actions show continuity without signs of health-related incapacity or resignation pressure. Historical patterns of two-term presidents completing initial years further align with the 90.5 percent implied probability against an early exit. Scheduled events such as legislative sessions and diplomatic engagements through late 2026 offer limited near-term catalysts for change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
$8,517,291 Wol.
$8,517,291 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
$8,517,291 Wol.
$8,517,291 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's position as the duly elected incumbent, inaugurated in January 2025, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office at least through early 2027. Republican congressional majorities have reduced the viability of impeachment or removal proceedings, with no active resolutions or bipartisan momentum reported in the past month. Recent public schedules and executive actions show continuity without signs of health-related incapacity or resignation pressure. Historical patterns of two-term presidents completing initial years further align with the 90.5 percent implied probability against an early exit. Scheduled events such as legislative sessions and diplomatic engagements through late 2026 offer limited near-term catalysts for change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,517,291Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's position as the duly elected incumbent, inaugurated in January 2025, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office at least through early 2027. Republican congressional majorities have reduced the viability of impeachment or removal proceedings, with no active resolutions or bipartisan momentum reported in the past month. Recent public schedules and executive actions show continuity without signs of health-related incapacity or resignation pressure. Historical patterns of two-term presidents completing initial years further align with the 90.5 percent implied probability against an early exit. Scheduled events such as legislative sessions and diplomatic engagements through late 2026 offer limited near-term catalysts for change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$8,517,791Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's position as the duly elected incumbent, inaugurated in January 2025, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office at least through early 2027. Republican congressional majorities have reduced the viability of impeachment or removal proceedings, with no active resolutions or bipartisan momentum reported in the past month. Recent public schedules and executive actions show continuity without signs of health-related incapacity or resignation pressure. Historical patterns of two-term presidents completing initial years further align with the 90.5 percent implied probability against an early exit. Scheduled events such as legislative sessions and diplomatic engagements through late 2026 offer limited near-term catalysts for change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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