Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Wol.
$1,106,932 Wol.
Aug 19, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
Yes
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Wol.
$1,106,932 Wol.
Aug 19, 2026
<40
$134,023 Wol.
No
40-64
$119,676 Wol.
No
65-89
$314,275 Wol.
No
90-114
$362,479 Wol.
Yes
115-139
$150,901 Wol.
No
140-164
$12,515 Wol.
No
165-189
$6,008 Wol.
No
190-214
$2,375 Wol.
No
215-239
$2,805 Wol.
No
240+
$1,875 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,106,932Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$1,106,932Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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