Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 140-179 tweet range for August 14-21. Recent weekly tracking shows daily averages near 20 posts, a pace that historically lands weekly totals in that band absent major news surges or extended quiet periods. With SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and routine platform commentary sustaining steady output, traders see limited upside or downside catalysts through the weekend. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects the inherent week-to-week variability in his activity while underscoring consensus around his baseline rhythm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano140-159 24%
160-179 24%
180-199 18%
120-139 15.6%
$750,825 Wol.
$750,825 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
16%
140-159
24%
160-179
24%
180-199
18%
200-219
8%
220-239
4%
240-259
1%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 24%
160-179 24%
180-199 18%
120-139 15.6%
$750,825 Wol.
$750,825 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
20-39
$1,883 Wol.
<1%
40-59
$1,883 Wol.
<1%
60-79
$39,215 Wol.
<1%
80-99
$80,972 Wol.
1%
100-119
$82,495 Wol.
7%
120-139
$48,858 Wol.
16%
140-159
$15,074 Wol.
24%
160-179
$20,539 Wol.
24%
180-199
$26,650 Wol.
18%
200-219
$14,879 Wol.
8%
220-239
$12,166 Wol.
4%
240-259
$15,302 Wol.
1%
260-279
$19,788 Wol.
1%
280-299
$39,661 Wol.
<1%
300-319
$50,474 Wol.
<1%
320-339
$52,805 Wol.
<1%
340-359
$38,794 Wol.
<1%
360-379
$35,717 Wol.
<1%
380-399
$43,006 Wol.
<1%
400-419
$28,243 Wol.
<1%
420-439
$10,328 Wol.
<1%
440-459
$7,201 Wol.
<1%
460-479
$6,646 Wol.
<1%
480-499
$6,646 Wol.
<1%
500+
$48,717 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 140-179 tweet range for August 14-21. Recent weekly tracking shows daily averages near 20 posts, a pace that historically lands weekly totals in that band absent major news surges or extended quiet periods. With SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and routine platform commentary sustaining steady output, traders see limited upside or downside catalysts through the weekend. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects the inherent week-to-week variability in his activity while underscoring consensus around his baseline rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$750,825Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 140-179 tweet range for August 14-21. Recent weekly tracking shows daily averages near 20 posts, a pace that historically lands weekly totals in that band absent major news surges or extended quiet periods. With SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and routine platform commentary sustaining steady output, traders see limited upside or downside catalysts through the weekend. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects the inherent week-to-week variability in his activity while underscoring consensus around his baseline rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$750,825Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 140-179 tweet range for August 14-21. Recent weekly tracking shows daily averages near 20 posts, a pace that historically lands weekly totals in that band absent major news surges or extended quiet periods. With SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and routine platform commentary sustaining steady output, traders see limited upside or downside catalysts through the weekend. The narrow spread between the top two buckets reflects the inherent week-to-week variability in his activity while underscoring consensus around his baseline rhythm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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