Elon Musk's historically variable but elevated posting cadence on X underpins the tightly clustered odds for the August 11–18 window, with the 180–239 ranges commanding the strongest trader consensus. Absent major product announcements, political developments, or platform controversies in the immediate run-up, markets price in a return to his baseline daily volume of roughly 20–30 main-feed posts rather than a sustained spike. Recent short-period Polymarket resolutions confirm this pattern during quiet stretches, while broader August volume markets highlight how breaking news can push totals higher. Key differentiators remain any last-minute catalysts before the period opens, as Musk's activity fluctuates sharply with real-time events.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 15%
NOWE
$37,370 Wol.
NOWE
$37,370 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
11%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
10%
260-279
9%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 15%
160-179 15%
NOWE
$37,370 Wol.
NOWE
$37,370 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$115 Wol.
<1%
20-39
$115 Wol.
<1%
40-59
$115 Wol.
<1%
60-79
$10,970 Wol.
<1%
80-99
$3,916 Wol.
<1%
100-119
$4,481 Wol.
1%
120-139
$89 Wol.
3%
140-159
$100 Wol.
11%
160-179
$170 Wol.
15%
180-199
$188 Wol.
17%
200-219
$201 Wol.
18%
220-239
$125 Wol.
15%
240-259
$263 Wol.
10%
260-279
$178 Wol.
9%
280-299
$1,513 Wol.
3%
300-319
$451 Wol.
2%
320-339
$175 Wol.
1%
340-359
$187 Wol.
1%
360-379
$462 Wol.
1%
380-399
$200 Wol.
<1%
400-419
$240 Wol.
<1%
420-439
$190 Wol.
<1%
440-459
$921 Wol.
<1%
460-479
$921 Wol.
<1%
480-499
$421 Wol.
<1%
500+
$10,875 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's historically variable but elevated posting cadence on X underpins the tightly clustered odds for the August 11–18 window, with the 180–239 ranges commanding the strongest trader consensus. Absent major product announcements, political developments, or platform controversies in the immediate run-up, markets price in a return to his baseline daily volume of roughly 20–30 main-feed posts rather than a sustained spike. Recent short-period Polymarket resolutions confirm this pattern during quiet stretches, while broader August volume markets highlight how breaking news can push totals higher. Key differentiators remain any last-minute catalysts before the period opens, as Musk's activity fluctuates sharply with real-time events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,370Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's historically variable but elevated posting cadence on X underpins the tightly clustered odds for the August 11–18 window, with the 180–239 ranges commanding the strongest trader consensus. Absent major product announcements, political developments, or platform controversies in the immediate run-up, markets price in a return to his baseline daily volume of roughly 20–30 main-feed posts rather than a sustained spike. Recent short-period Polymarket resolutions confirm this pattern during quiet stretches, while broader August volume markets highlight how breaking news can push totals higher. Key differentiators remain any last-minute catalysts before the period opens, as Musk's activity fluctuates sharply with real-time events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$37,370Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's historically variable but elevated posting cadence on X underpins the tightly clustered odds for the August 11–18 window, with the 180–239 ranges commanding the strongest trader consensus. Absent major product announcements, political developments, or platform controversies in the immediate run-up, markets price in a return to his baseline daily volume of roughly 20–30 main-feed posts rather than a sustained spike. Recent short-period Polymarket resolutions confirm this pattern during quiet stretches, while broader August volume markets highlight how breaking news can push totals higher. Key differentiators remain any last-minute catalysts before the period opens, as Musk's activity fluctuates sharply with real-time events.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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