**Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have created split trader sentiment around Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance.** Positive reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and enthusiastic audience scores position the Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle for potentially strong word-of-mouth legs in a summer marketplace with limited direct competition, supporting the 43% implied probability on an $180 million+ hold. At the same time, the film’s outsized debut raises the risk of a steeper drop typical of event-level openers, fueling equal 43% odds on sub-$130 million. Mid-range outcomes sit lower at 25.5% each, reflecting uncertainty over exact percentage decline amid early August tracking data and historical MCU hold patterns. Traders are watching daily grosses and social metrics closely ahead of this weekend’s chart lock.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
<130m 43%
130-140m 43%
140-150m 43%
150-160m 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
<130m
43%
130-140m
43%
140-150m
43%
150-160m
43%
160-170m
43%
170-180m
43%
180m+
43%
<130m 43%
130-140m 43%
140-150m 43%
150-160m 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
<130m
$0 Wol.
43%
130-140m
$0 Wol.
43%
140-150m
$0 Wol.
43%
150-160m
$0 Wol.
43%
160-170m
$0 Wol.
43%
170-180m
$0 Wol.
43%
180m+
$0 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have created split trader sentiment around Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance.** Positive reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and enthusiastic audience scores position the Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle for potentially strong word-of-mouth legs in a summer marketplace with limited direct competition, supporting the 43% implied probability on an $180 million+ hold. At the same time, the film’s outsized debut raises the risk of a steeper drop typical of event-level openers, fueling equal 43% odds on sub-$130 million. Mid-range outcomes sit lower at 25.5% each, reflecting uncertainty over exact percentage decline amid early August tracking data and historical MCU hold patterns. Traders are watching daily grosses and social metrics closely ahead of this weekend’s chart lock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have created split trader sentiment around Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance.** Positive reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and enthusiastic audience scores position the Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle for potentially strong word-of-mouth legs in a summer marketplace with limited direct competition, supporting the 43% implied probability on an $180 million+ hold. At the same time, the film’s outsized debut raises the risk of a steeper drop typical of event-level openers, fueling equal 43% odds on sub-$130 million. Mid-range outcomes sit lower at 25.5% each, reflecting uncertainty over exact percentage decline amid early August tracking data and historical MCU hold patterns. Traders are watching daily grosses and social metrics closely ahead of this weekend’s chart lock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong critical reception and record-shattering $360 million domestic opening have created split trader sentiment around Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance.** Positive reviews (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and enthusiastic audience scores position the Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle for potentially strong word-of-mouth legs in a summer marketplace with limited direct competition, supporting the 43% implied probability on an $180 million+ hold. At the same time, the film’s outsized debut raises the risk of a steeper drop typical of event-level openers, fueling equal 43% odds on sub-$130 million. Mid-range outcomes sit lower at 25.5% each, reflecting uncertainty over exact percentage decline amid early August tracking data and historical MCU hold patterns. Traders are watching daily grosses and social metrics closely ahead of this weekend’s chart lock.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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