Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday at 60% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening week, propelled by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive presales and Fandango rankings, outpacing Super Mario Galaxy Movie's record $131 million domestic debut and $372 million global launch in April. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 30.5% on Tom Holland's franchise momentum and Phase Six hype ahead of its July 31 release, while Toy Story 5 garners 8.7% from Pixar's enduring family appeal despite competition from superhero event films. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's early lead has faded amid previews positioning Marvel tentpoles higher, with Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu tracking softly at $80-100 million for May 22; late catalysts like final trailers or guild buzz could shift dynamics before summer blockbusters hit.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 31%
Toy Story 5 8.2%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 2.9%
$12,782 Wol.
$12,782 Wol.
Avengers: Doomsday
60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
31%
Toy Story 5
8%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
9%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 31%
Toy Story 5 8.2%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 2.9%
$12,782 Wol.
$12,782 Wol.
Avengers: Doomsday
60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
31%
Toy Story 5
8%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
9%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday at 60% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening week, propelled by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive presales and Fandango rankings, outpacing Super Mario Galaxy Movie's record $131 million domestic debut and $372 million global launch in April. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 30.5% on Tom Holland's franchise momentum and Phase Six hype ahead of its July 31 release, while Toy Story 5 garners 8.7% from Pixar's enduring family appeal despite competition from superhero event films. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's early lead has faded amid previews positioning Marvel tentpoles higher, with Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu tracking softly at $80-100 million for May 22; late catalysts like final trailers or guild buzz could shift dynamics before summer blockbusters hit.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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