Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 2026 opening, fueled by unprecedented preview grosses and strong word-of-mouth, has anchored trader consensus around its 74% implied probability for the year’s biggest opening week. Early tracking and post-release data already place it among the largest launches ever, outpacing most prior MCU benchmarks despite superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday holds a distant 24% share on the strength of December 18 pre-sales and franchise hype, yet its later release leaves room for upside or downside from final marketing and competition. Lower-probability titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face stiffer hurdles from earlier or overlapping slots and more modest presale momentum. Upcoming chart updates and holiday tracking will test whether any late surge can close the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 Wol.
$65,352 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 Wol.
$65,352 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,481 Wol.
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,777 Wol.
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,366 Wol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,178 Wol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 2026 opening, fueled by unprecedented preview grosses and strong word-of-mouth, has anchored trader consensus around its 74% implied probability for the year’s biggest opening week. Early tracking and post-release data already place it among the largest launches ever, outpacing most prior MCU benchmarks despite superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday holds a distant 24% share on the strength of December 18 pre-sales and franchise hype, yet its later release leaves room for upside or downside from final marketing and competition. Lower-probability titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face stiffer hurdles from earlier or overlapping slots and more modest presale momentum. Upcoming chart updates and holiday tracking will test whether any late surge can close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$65,352Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 2026 opening, fueled by unprecedented preview grosses and strong word-of-mouth, has anchored trader consensus around its 74% implied probability for the year’s biggest opening week. Early tracking and post-release data already place it among the largest launches ever, outpacing most prior MCU benchmarks despite superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday holds a distant 24% share on the strength of December 18 pre-sales and franchise hype, yet its later release leaves room for upside or downside from final marketing and competition. Lower-probability titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face stiffer hurdles from earlier or overlapping slots and more modest presale momentum. Upcoming chart updates and holiday tracking will test whether any late surge can close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$65,352Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 2026 opening, fueled by unprecedented preview grosses and strong word-of-mouth, has anchored trader consensus around its 74% implied probability for the year’s biggest opening week. Early tracking and post-release data already place it among the largest launches ever, outpacing most prior MCU benchmarks despite superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday holds a distant 24% share on the strength of December 18 pre-sales and franchise hype, yet its later release leaves room for upside or downside from final marketing and competition. Lower-probability titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face stiffer hurdles from earlier or overlapping slots and more modest presale momentum. Upcoming chart updates and holiday tracking will test whether any late surge can close the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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