Strong box office momentum from its record $360 million opening and third-biggest second weekend ever at roughly $145 million underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a sub-$72 million third frame. Tracking services project a 50-60% drop to the $57-72 million range, consistent with summer tentpole patterns and limited new competition from titles like The End of Oak Street. The MCU entry has already crossed key domestic milestones en route to $700 million and maintains broad audience appeal. An upset into higher brackets would require unusually strong word-of-mouth retention or minimal competition, outcomes that appear unlikely given the steep second-weekend decline and standard front-loaded performance for major superhero releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
<72m 96%
72-79m 2.0%
86-93m 1.0%
93m+ <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
<72m
96%
72-79m
2%
79-86m
<1%
86-93m
1%
93m+
<1%
<72m 96%
72-79m 2.0%
86-93m 1.0%
93m+ <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
<72m
$2,640 Wol.
96%
72-79m
$792 Wol.
2%
79-86m
$814 Wol.
<1%
86-93m
$746 Wol.
1%
93m+
$601 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong box office momentum from its record $360 million opening and third-biggest second weekend ever at roughly $145 million underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a sub-$72 million third frame. Tracking services project a 50-60% drop to the $57-72 million range, consistent with summer tentpole patterns and limited new competition from titles like The End of Oak Street. The MCU entry has already crossed key domestic milestones en route to $700 million and maintains broad audience appeal. An upset into higher brackets would require unusually strong word-of-mouth retention or minimal competition, outcomes that appear unlikely given the steep second-weekend decline and standard front-loaded performance for major superhero releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,593Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong box office momentum from its record $360 million opening and third-biggest second weekend ever at roughly $145 million underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a sub-$72 million third frame. Tracking services project a 50-60% drop to the $57-72 million range, consistent with summer tentpole patterns and limited new competition from titles like The End of Oak Street. The MCU entry has already crossed key domestic milestones en route to $700 million and maintains broad audience appeal. An upset into higher brackets would require unusually strong word-of-mouth retention or minimal competition, outcomes that appear unlikely given the steep second-weekend decline and standard front-loaded performance for major superhero releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$5,593Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong box office momentum from its record $360 million opening and third-biggest second weekend ever at roughly $145 million underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a sub-$72 million third frame. Tracking services project a 50-60% drop to the $57-72 million range, consistent with summer tentpole patterns and limited new competition from titles like The End of Oak Street. The MCU entry has already crossed key domestic milestones en route to $700 million and maintains broad audience appeal. An upset into higher brackets would require unusually strong word-of-mouth retention or minimal competition, outcomes that appear unlikely given the steep second-weekend decline and standard front-loaded performance for major superhero releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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