Julianne Moore’s commanding position at 64.5% implied probability stems from early critical raves for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-drama *The Debut*, which screened to strong buzz at Telluride and TIFF in September 2026. Traders see the veteran Oscar winner’s eccentric, high-wire performance as the kind of career-highlight work that historically resonates with Academy voters. Inde Navarrette follows at 15% on the strength of her chilling turn in the horror hit *Obsession*, while Renate Reinsve (8.5%), Sandra Hüller (7.8%), and the rest of the field trail amid a still-fluid campaign season. With nominations voting months away and guild precursors ahead, the market reflects Moore’s current momentum while leaving room for late shifts once additional 2026 releases screen.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,556 Wol.
$132,556 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
65%
Inde Navarrette
15%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,556 Wol.
$132,556 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,827 Wol.
65%
Inde Navarrette
$25,169 Wol.
15%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Wol.
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Wol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Wol.
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 Wol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Wol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Wol.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 Wol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Wol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Wol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding position at 64.5% implied probability stems from early critical raves for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-drama *The Debut*, which screened to strong buzz at Telluride and TIFF in September 2026. Traders see the veteran Oscar winner’s eccentric, high-wire performance as the kind of career-highlight work that historically resonates with Academy voters. Inde Navarrette follows at 15% on the strength of her chilling turn in the horror hit *Obsession*, while Renate Reinsve (8.5%), Sandra Hüller (7.8%), and the rest of the field trail amid a still-fluid campaign season. With nominations voting months away and guild precursors ahead, the market reflects Moore’s current momentum while leaving room for late shifts once additional 2026 releases screen.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$132,556Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding position at 64.5% implied probability stems from early critical raves for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-drama *The Debut*, which screened to strong buzz at Telluride and TIFF in September 2026. Traders see the veteran Oscar winner’s eccentric, high-wire performance as the kind of career-highlight work that historically resonates with Academy voters. Inde Navarrette follows at 15% on the strength of her chilling turn in the horror hit *Obsession*, while Renate Reinsve (8.5%), Sandra Hüller (7.8%), and the rest of the field trail amid a still-fluid campaign season. With nominations voting months away and guild precursors ahead, the market reflects Moore’s current momentum while leaving room for late shifts once additional 2026 releases screen.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$132,556Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s commanding position at 64.5% implied probability stems from early critical raves for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 comedy-drama *The Debut*, which screened to strong buzz at Telluride and TIFF in September 2026. Traders see the veteran Oscar winner’s eccentric, high-wire performance as the kind of career-highlight work that historically resonates with Academy voters. Inde Navarrette follows at 15% on the strength of her chilling turn in the horror hit *Obsession*, while Renate Reinsve (8.5%), Sandra Hüller (7.8%), and the rest of the field trail amid a still-fluid campaign season. With nominations voting months away and guild precursors ahead, the market reflects Moore’s current momentum while leaving room for late shifts once additional 2026 releases screen.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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