Elon Musk’s historically high posting volume on X, often exceeding 40–60 tweets daily amid Tesla and SpaceX updates or real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows consistent engagement, including multiple replies and posts on August 6 about Megapack production and platform topics, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40–64 range as a realistic three-day total. Absence of major rocket launches, earnings events, or political flashpoints in the immediate period limits upside momentum, while his pattern of weekend moderation keeps extreme bins below 2% implied probability. Traders view the current distribution as reflecting verified behavioral baselines rather than speculation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 49%
65-89 27%
<40 18%
90-114 7%
$45,543 Wol.
$45,543 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
<40
18%
40-64
49%
65-89
27%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 27%
<40 18%
90-114 7%
$45,543 Wol.
$45,543 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
<40
$6,621 Wol.
18%
40-64
$4,688 Wol.
49%
65-89
$3,139 Wol.
27%
90-114
$4,410 Wol.
7%
115-139
$6,411 Wol.
1%
140-164
$8,595 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$2,210 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$5,767 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Wol.
<1%
240+
$1,931 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s historically high posting volume on X, often exceeding 40–60 tweets daily amid Tesla and SpaceX updates or real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows consistent engagement, including multiple replies and posts on August 6 about Megapack production and platform topics, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40–64 range as a realistic three-day total. Absence of major rocket launches, earnings events, or political flashpoints in the immediate period limits upside momentum, while his pattern of weekend moderation keeps extreme bins below 2% implied probability. Traders view the current distribution as reflecting verified behavioral baselines rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$45,543Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s historically high posting volume on X, often exceeding 40–60 tweets daily amid Tesla and SpaceX updates or real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows consistent engagement, including multiple replies and posts on August 6 about Megapack production and platform topics, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40–64 range as a realistic three-day total. Absence of major rocket launches, earnings events, or political flashpoints in the immediate period limits upside momentum, while his pattern of weekend moderation keeps extreme bins below 2% implied probability. Traders view the current distribution as reflecting verified behavioral baselines rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$45,543Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s historically high posting volume on X, often exceeding 40–60 tweets daily amid Tesla and SpaceX updates or real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows consistent engagement, including multiple replies and posts on August 6 about Megapack production and platform topics, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40–64 range as a realistic three-day total. Absence of major rocket launches, earnings events, or political flashpoints in the immediate period limits upside momentum, while his pattern of weekend moderation keeps extreme bins below 2% implied probability. Traders view the current distribution as reflecting verified behavioral baselines rather than speculation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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