Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest favorite because Elon Musk’s recent daily posting pace on X, when limited to original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies, has settled near 25–30 per day. Weekend and early-week activity often runs lighter than midweek spikes, pulling the three-day total into the lower-to-mid range. The next bin at 65-89 captures scenarios with modest upticks from company news or engagement with trending topics. No major SpaceX or Tesla catalysts are scheduled for August 8-10, keeping momentum anchored to baseline habits rather than event-driven surges. Historical Polymarket data on similar short windows reinforces this clustering around moderate volume, with traders discounting extreme outliers given the short timeframe and lack of breaking developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 48%
65-89 24%
<40 24%
90-114 5%
NOWE
$28,239 Wol.
NOWE
$28,239 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
24%
40-64
48%
65-89
24%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 24%
<40 24%
90-114 5%
NOWE
$28,239 Wol.
NOWE
$28,239 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$3,375 Wol.
24%
40-64
$2,217 Wol.
48%
65-89
$3,297 Wol.
24%
90-114
$2,441 Wol.
5%
115-139
$3,976 Wol.
1%
140-164
$1,280 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$1,249 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$3,176 Wol.
<1%
240+
$3,285 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest favorite because Elon Musk’s recent daily posting pace on X, when limited to original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies, has settled near 25–30 per day. Weekend and early-week activity often runs lighter than midweek spikes, pulling the three-day total into the lower-to-mid range. The next bin at 65-89 captures scenarios with modest upticks from company news or engagement with trending topics. No major SpaceX or Tesla catalysts are scheduled for August 8-10, keeping momentum anchored to baseline habits rather than event-driven surges. Historical Polymarket data on similar short windows reinforces this clustering around moderate volume, with traders discounting extreme outliers given the short timeframe and lack of breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,239Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest favorite because Elon Musk’s recent daily posting pace on X, when limited to original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies, has settled near 25–30 per day. Weekend and early-week activity often runs lighter than midweek spikes, pulling the three-day total into the lower-to-mid range. The next bin at 65-89 captures scenarios with modest upticks from company news or engagement with trending topics. No major SpaceX or Tesla catalysts are scheduled for August 8-10, keeping momentum anchored to baseline habits rather than event-driven surges. Historical Polymarket data on similar short windows reinforces this clustering around moderate volume, with traders discounting extreme outliers given the short timeframe and lack of breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$28,239Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest favorite because Elon Musk’s recent daily posting pace on X, when limited to original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies, has settled near 25–30 per day. Weekend and early-week activity often runs lighter than midweek spikes, pulling the three-day total into the lower-to-mid range. The next bin at 65-89 captures scenarios with modest upticks from company news or engagement with trending topics. No major SpaceX or Tesla catalysts are scheduled for August 8-10, keeping momentum anchored to baseline habits rather than event-driven surges. Historical Polymarket data on similar short windows reinforces this clustering around moderate volume, with traders discounting extreme outliers given the short timeframe and lack of breaking developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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