United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóra partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Jedna Rosja (ER) 62%
Nowi Ludzie (NL) 29.0%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 5.5%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 3.8%
$8,176,588 Wol.
$8,176,588 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Jedna Rosja (ER)
62%
Nowi Ludzie (NL)
29%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)
5%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)
4%
Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Platforma Obywatelska (GP)
<1%
Jedna Rosja (ER) 62%
Nowi Ludzie (NL) 29.0%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 5.5%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 3.8%
$8,176,588 Wol.
$8,176,588 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Jedna Rosja (ER)
$2,129,454 Wol.
62%
Nowi Ludzie (NL)
$1,041,201 Wol.
29%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)
$2,272,834 Wol.
5%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)
$654,488 Wol.
4%
Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)
$571,026 Wol.
1%
Rodina
$928,378 Wol.
<1%
Platforma Obywatelska (GP)
$579,580 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,176,588Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$8,176,588Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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