Trader consensus slightly favors Vancouver Liberals' Kareem Allam at 40.5% over incumbent Mayor Ken Sim's 33.5% re-election bid for the October 17 municipal election, reflecting a February Research Co. survey showing voters evenly split on Sim and his ABC Vancouver party after three years amid calls for change. Allam, Sim's former chief of staff who split off to launch Vancouver Liberals in 2025, has built momentum as a moderate alternative in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates fragmenting progressive and centrist votes. Green Councilllor Pete Fry's April entry at 15.3% adds to the contest, while recent progressive party unity pledges aim to consolidate anti-ABC support. Upcoming debates, polls, and nominations could tip the balance in this closely matched race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKareem Allam 41%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.2%
William Azaroff 5.8%
$67,085 Wol.
$67,085 Wol.

Kareem Allam
41%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
6%

Colleen Hardwick
2%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
Kareem Allam 41%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.2%
William Azaroff 5.8%
$67,085 Wol.
$67,085 Wol.

Kareem Allam
41%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
6%

Colleen Hardwick
2%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Vancouver Liberals' Kareem Allam at 40.5% over incumbent Mayor Ken Sim's 33.5% re-election bid for the October 17 municipal election, reflecting a February Research Co. survey showing voters evenly split on Sim and his ABC Vancouver party after three years amid calls for change. Allam, Sim's former chief of staff who split off to launch Vancouver Liberals in 2025, has built momentum as a moderate alternative in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates fragmenting progressive and centrist votes. Green Councilllor Pete Fry's April entry at 15.3% adds to the contest, while recent progressive party unity pledges aim to consolidate anti-ABC support. Upcoming debates, polls, and nominations could tip the balance in this closely matched race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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