Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District, which now leans Republican following spring 2026 map changes, has drawn a crowded field of seven Republican primary candidates seeking the nomination on August 18. A recent Victory Insights poll of likely primary voters showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top, with Dan Green close behind and all within the margin of error. This fragmentation, combined with varied candidate profiles ranging from prior general election challengers and veterans to business owners and local officials, has kept trader consensus split among the leaders. Limited standout endorsements or late-breaking polling shifts have sustained the tight positioning, though strong debate showings, regional turnout advantages, or additional high-profile support in the final days could consolidate support ahead of the vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJorge Martinez 31.6%
Thomas Chalifoux 26%
Ben Butler 22.1%
Dan Green 16%
$88,167 Wol.
$88,167 Wol.

Jorge Martinez
32%

Thomas Chalifoux
26%

Ben Butler
22%

Dan Green
16%

Justin Story
1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Jorge Martinez 31.6%
Thomas Chalifoux 26%
Ben Butler 22.1%
Dan Green 16%
$88,167 Wol.
$88,167 Wol.

Jorge Martinez
32%

Thomas Chalifoux
26%

Ben Butler
22%

Dan Green
16%

Justin Story
1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District, which now leans Republican following spring 2026 map changes, has drawn a crowded field of seven Republican primary candidates seeking the nomination on August 18. A recent Victory Insights poll of likely primary voters showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top, with Dan Green close behind and all within the margin of error. This fragmentation, combined with varied candidate profiles ranging from prior general election challengers and veterans to business owners and local officials, has kept trader consensus split among the leaders. Limited standout endorsements or late-breaking polling shifts have sustained the tight positioning, though strong debate showings, regional turnout advantages, or additional high-profile support in the final days could consolidate support ahead of the vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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