David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that settled in the 0.4–0.6% range after final tallies. Late endorsement from incumbent Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures helped the Milwaukee County executive consolidate moderate and union support in key urban and suburban areas, overcoming Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead among progressives. The exceptionally close result, narrower than 0.5 points with over 620,000 votes cast between the top two, aligned with the market’s dominant pricing. Remaining certification steps or any delayed absentee ballots could theoretically alter the precise bracket, though historical patterns in Wisconsin primaries indicate such shifts are rare once initial counts stabilize near this threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCrowley 0.4–0.6% 98.8%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.1%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$213,113 Wol.
$213,113 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
<1%
Hong <0.2%
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
99%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
<1%
Crowley 2%+
<1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 98.8%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.1%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$213,113 Wol.
$213,113 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
$319 Wol.
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 Wol.
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 Wol.
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 Wol.
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 Wol.
<1%
Hong <0.2%
$576 Wol.
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
$37,514 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$41,432 Wol.
1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$38,952 Wol.
99%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$29,981 Wol.
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$26,575 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 Wol.
<1%
Crowley 2%+
$521 Wol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that settled in the 0.4–0.6% range after final tallies. Late endorsement from incumbent Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures helped the Milwaukee County executive consolidate moderate and union support in key urban and suburban areas, overcoming Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead among progressives. The exceptionally close result, narrower than 0.5 points with over 620,000 votes cast between the top two, aligned with the market’s dominant pricing. Remaining certification steps or any delayed absentee ballots could theoretically alter the precise bracket, though historical patterns in Wisconsin primaries indicate such shifts are rare once initial counts stabilize near this threshold.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$213,113Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that settled in the 0.4–0.6% range after final tallies. Late endorsement from incumbent Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures helped the Milwaukee County executive consolidate moderate and union support in key urban and suburban areas, overcoming Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead among progressives. The exceptionally close result, narrower than 0.5 points with over 620,000 votes cast between the top two, aligned with the market’s dominant pricing. Remaining certification steps or any delayed absentee ballots could theoretically alter the precise bracket, though historical patterns in Wisconsin primaries indicate such shifts are rare once initial counts stabilize near this threshold.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$213,113Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that settled in the 0.4–0.6% range after final tallies. Late endorsement from incumbent Gov. Tony Evers and other establishment figures helped the Milwaukee County executive consolidate moderate and union support in key urban and suburban areas, overcoming Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead among progressives. The exceptionally close result, narrower than 0.5 points with over 620,000 votes cast between the top two, aligned with the market’s dominant pricing. Remaining certification steps or any delayed absentee ballots could theoretically alter the precise bracket, though historical patterns in Wisconsin primaries indicate such shifts are rare once initial counts stabilize near this threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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