Kursy i prognozy wyborów midterm 2026

$7.2K Wol.

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% szansy na nie

-1.5%

$6.2K Wol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

61% szansy na nie

-31.0%

$3.2K Wol.

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

80% szansy na tak

+27.0%

$1.9K Wol.

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

69% szansy na nie

-7.0%

$1.5K Wol.

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

91% szansy na tak

+21.0%

$1.5K Wol.

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

52% szansy na tak

-3.5%

NOWE

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

98% szansy na tak

+3.2%

NOWE

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

53% szansy na tak

-2.0%

NOWE

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

65% szansy na tak

-1.5%

$4M Wol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

69% szansy na nie

+1.0%

$7.2K Wol.

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% szansy na nie

-1.5%

$6.2K Wol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

61% szansy na nie

-31.0%

Największe wyścigi

najbardziej kluczowe rynki

AK Governor

55% Demokrata

+5%

$750K Wol.

TX Senate

52% Demokrata

ME Senate

69% Demokrata

$393K Wol.

AK Senate

51% Demokrata

-1%

$325K Wol.

MI Senate

58% Demokrata

+2%

AK Governor

55% Demokrata

+5%

$750K Wol.

TX Senate

52% Demokrata

ME Senate

69% Demokrata

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Wszystkie wyścigi

583 rynki

Wyścig

Stan

Faw.

Poziom

Wyświetlanie 25 z 50 rynków

Kursy Midterms 2026

Kursy wyborów midterm 2026 — kursy rynku prognoz na żywo
Rynek	Główny faworyt i nominowani	Kursy rynkowe na żywo
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	92%
	Steve Hilton	7%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Troy Jackson (D)	70%
	Susan Collins (R)	31%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	56%
	Bernadette Wilson	32%
	Treg Taylor	6%
	David Bronson	4%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	3%
	Click Bishop	2%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Mary Peltola	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
	Bill Walker	1%
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D)	52%
	Ken Paxton (R)	48%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	51%
	Dan Sullivan	49%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D)	60%
	Mike Rogers (R)	42%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	97%
	Alexandra Van Cleef	1%
	Aaron Baker	1%
	Dan Bilzerian	1%
	Charles Gambaro	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Ashley Hinson (R)	57%
	Josh Turek (D)	44%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	David Crowley (D)	77%
	Tom Tiffany (R)	23%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Amy Acton (D)	54%
	Vivek Ramaswamy (R)	45%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	92%
	Independent	6%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Jon Ossoff (D)	92%
	Mike Collins (R)	8%
New York Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	7%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Ben Butler	48%
	Thomas Chalifoux	22%
	Dan Green	8%
	Jorge Martinez	7%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Amy Klobuchar (D)	93%
	Lisa Demuth (R)	6%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Rob Sand (D)	72%
	Zach Lahn (R)	27%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	96%
	Victoria Doyle	4%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	47%
	Jim Schwartzel	40%
	Jim Oberweis	15%
	Bob Rommel	1%
FL-22 Republican Primary Winner	Michael Carbonara	45%
	David Burck	35%
	Belinda Keiser	14%
	Casey Askar	6%
FL-02 Republican Primary Winner	Austin Rogers	64%
	Keith Gross	24%
	Evan Power	4%
	Jim Norton	2%
FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner	Jared Moskowitz	89%
	Oliver Larkin	11%
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	13%
Minnesota Senate Election Winner	Peggy Flanagan (D)	93%
	Michele Tafoya (R)	8%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	89%
	Elijah Manley	12%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Bell 16%+	100%
	Bell 8–12%	1%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Cory Mills	51%
	Ryan Elijah	48%
Maryland Governor Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	4%
FL-25 Republican Primary Winner	Scott Singer	74%
	Dan Franzese	13%
	George Moraitis	13%
	Joseph Kaufman	1%
WY-AL Republican Primary Winner	Steve Friess	53%
	Chuck Gray	35%
	Kevin Christensen	11%
	Reid Rasner	3%
	Bo Biteman	1%
	Frank Chapman	1%
	David Giralt	1%
	John Romero-Martinez	1%
FL-14 Republican Primary Winner	Kevin Steele	62%
	Mike Beltran	34%
FL-11 Republican Primary Winner	Joe Strada	67%
	Carey Baker	25%
	Tim Wilkins	9%
FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Nic Zateslo	35%
	Yen Bailey	28%
	Amanda Green	27%
	Brice Barnes	7%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	McKinney <4%	50%
	McKinney 4–8%	36%
	Thanedar <4%	1%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	80%
	Democrat	19%
Kansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	57%
	Democrat	40%
MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Richard Neal	89%
	Jeromie Whalen	8%
FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner	LaShonda "L.J." Holloway	77%
	Michael Kirwan	21%
	Brit Robinson	1%
FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Eric Yonce	69%
	Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera	31%
	Robert Cooper	1%
FL-05 Republican Primary Winner	John Rutherford	98%
	Mark Kaye	2%
FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner	Eliott Rodriguez	89%
	Robin Peguero	6%
MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Jake Auchincloss	93%
	Jason Poulos	7%
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Republican 25-30%	21%
	Republican 30-35%	14%
	Republican 10-15%	14%
	Republican 20-25%	9%
	Republican 5-10%	9%
	Republican 0-5%	9%
	Republican 35%+	8%
	Republican 15-20%	8%
	Democrat Wins	5%
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Republican 0-3%	24%
	Democrat 0-3%	20%
	Republican 3-6%	14%
	Democrat 3-6%	12%
	Republican 12-15%	11%
	Republican 18%+	10%
	Republican 6-9%	7%
	Democrat 6%+	6%
	Republican 9-12%	5%
	Republican 15-18%	3%
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory	Republican 15-20%	18%
	Republican 20-25%	17%
	Republican 5-10%	16%
	Republican 10-15%	15%
	Democrat Wins	14%
	Republican 25-30%	11%
	Republican 35%+	10%
	Republican 30-35%	8%
	Republican 0-5%	7%
Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 9-12%	24%
	Democrat 6-9%	16%
	Democrat 12-15%	14%
	Republican 0-3%	13%
	Democrat 3-6%	13%
	Democrat 15-18%	11%
	Democrat 0-3%	10%
	Democrat 18%+	9%
	Republican 3-6%	4%
	Republican 6%+	3%
Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory	Republican 45-50%	33%
	Republican 35-40%	17%
	Republican 25-30%	13%
	Republican 15-20%	10%
	Republican 40-45%	8%
	Republican 30-35%	8%
	Republican 20-25%	8%
	Republican 10-15%	7%
	Republican 50%+	6%
	Republican 0-10%	5%
	Democrat Wins	4%
New York Governor Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 15-20%	22%
	Democrat 10-15%	19%
	Democrat 20-25%	16%
	Democrat 5-10%	14%
	Democrat 25-30%	12%
	Democrat 30-35%	12%
	Democrat 0-5%	11%
	Democrat 35%+	11%
	Republican Wins	6%
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 6-9%	19%
	Democrat 3-6%	14%
	Democrat 9-12%	14%
	Democrat 15-18%	14%
	Democrat 18%+	13%
	Democrat 0-3%	12%
	Democrat 12-15%	12%
	Republican 3-6%	11%
	Republican 0-3%	9%
	Republican 6%+	8%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	32%
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	Yes	39%

92%

Steve Hilton

Maine Senate Election Winner Troy Jackson (D)

70%

Susan Collins (R)

31%

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Texas Senate Election Winner James Talarico (D)

52%

Ken Paxton (R)

48%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

51%

Dan Sullivan

49%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Abdul El-Sayed (D)

60%

Mike Rogers (R)

42%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

Iowa Senate Election Winner Ashley Hinson (R)

57%

Josh Turek (D)

44%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner David Crowley (D)

77%

Tom Tiffany (R)

23%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Amy Acton (D)

54%

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)

45%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

92%

Independent

Georgia Senate Election Winner Jon Ossoff (D)

92%

Mike Collins (R)

New York Governor Election Winner Democrat

94%

Republican

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Ben Butler

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Amy Klobuchar (D)

93%

Lisa Demuth (R)

Iowa Governor Election Winner Rob Sand (D)

72%

Zach Lahn (R)

27%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

96%

Victoria Doyle

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

FL-22 Republican Primary Winner Michael Carbonara

FL-02 Republican Primary Winner Austin Rogers

FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner Jared Moskowitz

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Democrat

Oliver Larkin

11%

87%

Republican

13%

Minnesota Senate Election Winner Peggy Flanagan (D)

93%

Michele Tafoya (R)

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Bell 16%+

Elijah Manley

12%

100%

Bell 8–12%

FL-07 Republican Primary Winner Cory Mills

51%

Ryan Elijah

48%

Maryland Governor Election Winner Democrat

96%

Republican

FL-25 Republican Primary Winner Scott Singer

WY-AL Republican Primary Winner Steve Friess

FL-14 Republican Primary Winner Kevin Steele

62%

Mike Beltran

34%

FL-11 Republican Primary Winner Joe Strada

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner Nic Zateslo

MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory McKinney <4%

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

80%

Democrat

19%

Kansas Governor Election Winner Republican

57%

Democrat

40%

MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner Richard Neal

FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner LaShonda "L.J." Holloway

Jeromie Whalen

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner Eric Yonce

69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera

31%

Robert Cooper

FL-05 Republican Primary Winner John Rutherford

98%

Mark Kaye

FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner Eliott Rodriguez