Lee Shu-chuan holds a strong lead in the New Taipei mayoral market as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who subsequently suspended his bid and pledged support. This opposition alliance, combined with the open-seat contest after incumbent Hou Yu-ih reached term limits, has consolidated non-DPP backing in Taiwan’s most populous city ahead of the November 28 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP legislator and nominee since late 2025, trails as the main challenger, with recent campaign activity centered on urban renewal proposals while Lee emphasizes cross-river infrastructure and coordination with Taipei. Polls have fluctuated, occasionally showing narrower gaps, yet trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of unified opposition support and continuity from the outgoing administration. Minor candidates, including independents, register negligible probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Shu-chuan 74%
Su Chiao-hui 27%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
$22,258 Wol.
$22,258 Wol.
Jun 30, 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
74%
Su Chiao-hui
27%
Huang Kuo-chang
<1%
Lee Shu-chuan 74%
Su Chiao-hui 27%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
$22,258 Wol.
$22,258 Wol.
Jun 30, 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
$8,328 Wol.
74%
Su Chiao-hui
$12,641 Wol.
27%
Huang Kuo-chang
$1,288 Wol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a strong lead in the New Taipei mayoral market as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who subsequently suspended his bid and pledged support. This opposition alliance, combined with the open-seat contest after incumbent Hou Yu-ih reached term limits, has consolidated non-DPP backing in Taiwan’s most populous city ahead of the November 28 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP legislator and nominee since late 2025, trails as the main challenger, with recent campaign activity centered on urban renewal proposals while Lee emphasizes cross-river infrastructure and coordination with Taipei. Polls have fluctuated, occasionally showing narrower gaps, yet trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of unified opposition support and continuity from the outgoing administration. Minor candidates, including independents, register negligible probabilities.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,258Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a strong lead in the New Taipei mayoral market as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who subsequently suspended his bid and pledged support. This opposition alliance, combined with the open-seat contest after incumbent Hou Yu-ih reached term limits, has consolidated non-DPP backing in Taiwan’s most populous city ahead of the November 28 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP legislator and nominee since late 2025, trails as the main challenger, with recent campaign activity centered on urban renewal proposals while Lee emphasizes cross-river infrastructure and coordination with Taipei. Polls have fluctuated, occasionally showing narrower gaps, yet trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of unified opposition support and continuity from the outgoing administration. Minor candidates, including independents, register negligible probabilities.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wolumen
$22,258Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lee Shu-chuan holds a strong lead in the New Taipei mayoral market as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following his April 2026 primary victory over Huang Kuo-chang, who subsequently suspended his bid and pledged support. This opposition alliance, combined with the open-seat contest after incumbent Hou Yu-ih reached term limits, has consolidated non-DPP backing in Taiwan’s most populous city ahead of the November 28 vote. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP legislator and nominee since late 2025, trails as the main challenger, with recent campaign activity centered on urban renewal proposals while Lee emphasizes cross-river infrastructure and coordination with Taipei. Polls have fluctuated, occasionally showing narrower gaps, yet trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of unified opposition support and continuity from the outgoing administration. Minor candidates, including independents, register negligible probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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