Incumbent KMT Mayor Chiang Wan-an holds a strong trader consensus lead in the November 28 Taipei mayoral race, buoyed by his established city governance record, higher suitability ratings in recent surveys, and consolidated pan-Blue support. Democratic Progressive Party candidate Puma Shen has narrowed the gap in polling to within the margin of error through intensive district-level campaigning, high-profile endorsements from President Lai Ching-te and former President Tsai Ing-wen, and policy-focused events, yet remains behind in implied win probabilities. Minor candidates, including Kuo Hsi, register negligible support and minimal market activity. Recent clashes over drug policy and education platforms have highlighted contrasts without shifting the overall positioning ahead of the vote.