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Polityka·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Polityka·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.5%

Santiago Abascal 5.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%

Polymarket

$102,227 Wol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%

Pedro Sánchez 13.5%

Santiago Abascal 5.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso <1%

Polymarket

$102,227 Wol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$26,804 Wol.

81%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$17,330 Wol.

14%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$10,033 Wol.

6%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$5,016 Wol.

1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$2,610 Wol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$2,726 Wol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,079 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$3,480 Wol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,273 Wol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,117 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,120 Wol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,100 Wol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$3,472 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$3,512 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$3,524 Wol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$3,031 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80.5% because consistent national polling shows his center-right People’s Party (PP) ahead of Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE by margins that position PP, potentially with Vox support, to secure the most seats and form a government after the next general election due by August 2027. Sánchez’s position at 13.4% reflects ongoing coalition fragility and multiple corruption investigations tied to PSOE figures and allies that have eroded support since mid-2025. Regional election results in 2026 have reinforced PP strength in key areas, while Sánchez’s public commitment to seek re-election has not reversed the trend. Lower-priced alternatives such as Santiago Abascal and regional leaders remain marginal because coalition arithmetic and party structures favor the two main national contenders. Trader consensus incorporates these polling patterns and institutional timelines without assuming an early dissolution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$102,227
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 80.5% because consistent national polling shows his center-right People’s Party (PP) ahead of Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE by margins that position PP, potentially with Vox support, to secure the most seats and form a government after the next general election due by August 2027. Sánchez’s position at 13.4% reflects ongoing coalition fragility and multiple corruption investigations tied to PSOE figures and allies that have eroded support since mid-2025. Regional election results in 2026 have reinforced PP strength in key areas, while Sánchez’s public commitment to seek re-election has not reversed the trend. Lower-priced alternatives such as Santiago Abascal and regional leaders remain marginal because coalition arithmetic and party structures favor the two main national contenders. Trader consensus incorporates these polling patterns and institutional timelines without assuming an early dissolution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$102,227
Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" z 81%, za nim "Pedro Sánchez" z 14%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 81¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 81% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" wygenerował $102.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 26, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Prime Minister of Spain?", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" jest "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" z 81%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 81% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Pedro Sánchez" z 14%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.