Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats holding a steady 32-33 percent share, ahead of the Moderates at 16-19 percent and Sweden Democrats near 19 percent, giving the Red-Green bloc a narrow edge over the Tidö alliance. These trends, stable through April surveys by Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus, reflect ongoing public concerns over the incumbent coalition's handling of immigration and economic pressures, positioning former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus at 69.5 percent. Ulf Kristersson trails at 28.5 percent amid incumbency headwinds, while smaller-party leaders like Jimmie Åkesson remain marginal at 2.8 percent. Post-election coalition negotiations in the proportional system could still shift outcomes, though no major developments have altered the polling landscape in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNastępny premier Szwecji
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 28%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.6%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,247 Wol.
$1,953,247 Wol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
28%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 28%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.6%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,247 Wol.
$1,953,247 Wol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
28%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats holding a steady 32-33 percent share, ahead of the Moderates at 16-19 percent and Sweden Democrats near 19 percent, giving the Red-Green bloc a narrow edge over the Tidö alliance. These trends, stable through April surveys by Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus, reflect ongoing public concerns over the incumbent coalition's handling of immigration and economic pressures, positioning former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus at 69.5 percent. Ulf Kristersson trails at 28.5 percent amid incumbency headwinds, while smaller-party leaders like Jimmie Åkesson remain marginal at 2.8 percent. Post-election coalition negotiations in the proportional system could still shift outcomes, though no major developments have altered the polling landscape in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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