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Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
Polityka·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

Flavio Bolsonaro 52%

Lula 35%

Renan Santos 19%

Ronaldo Caiado 19%

Polymarket
NOWE

Flavio Bolsonaro 52%

Lula 35%

Renan Santos 19%

Ronaldo Caiado 19%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Wol.

52%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Wol.

35%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Wol.

19%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Wol.

19%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$45 Wol.

2%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$65 Wol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$65 Wol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$43 Wol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$65 Wol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$67 Wol.

1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$65 Wol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$43 Wol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$45 Wol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls show Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by 5–13 points ahead of the October 4 first round, yet Rio de Janeiro state remains closely contested because Bolsonaro serves as a senator from the state and draws concentrated support among conservative voters there. Campaign launches in mid-August, with both frontrunners returning to political strongholds, have reinforced this divide without shifting statewide preferences. Lower-polling candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Pablo Marçal, and Zema split the remainder, keeping any single leader below a decisive margin. Upcoming debates scheduled for late August and September, along with state-specific turnout patterns and late endorsements, could widen the gap by clarifying voter priorities on economic policy, security, and the Bolsonaro family legacy. Trader consensus reflects this persistent uncertainty in the key battleground.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$502
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls show Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by 5–13 points ahead of the October 4 first round, yet Rio de Janeiro state remains closely contested because Bolsonaro serves as a senator from the state and draws concentrated support among conservative voters there. Campaign launches in mid-August, with both frontrunners returning to political strongholds, have reinforced this divide without shifting statewide preferences. Lower-polling candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Pablo Marçal, and Zema split the remainder, keeping any single leader below a decisive margin. Upcoming debates scheduled for late August and September, along with state-specific turnout patterns and late endorsements, could widen the gap by clarifying voter priorities on economic policy, security, and the Bolsonaro family legacy. Trader consensus reflects this persistent uncertainty in the key battleground.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$502
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 52%, za nim "Lula" z 35%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 52¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 52% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro" jest "Flavio Bolsonaro" z 52%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 52% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Lula" z 35%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.