Trader consensus favors Romeu Zema for third place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his strong gubernatorial record in Minas Gerais amid polls showing him neck-and-neck with Ronaldo Caiado and surging outsider Renan Santos behind frontrunners Lula da Silva (38-40%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (33-37%). Recent May surveys from Quaest, Futura, and Ideia place Caiado at 4-5.7% for third, Zema at 3-4%, and Santos at 1-3%, down from his 5.3% peak in late April's AtlasIntel poll, underscoring volatility driven by undecided voters (9-15%) and a fragmented right-wing field lacking consolidation. Key factors keeping the race tight include competing gubernatorial bases and no major alliances yet; separation could arise from party conventions, debates, or economic shifts influencing swing state turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRomeu Zema 40%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 17%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.3%
$278,910 Wol.
$278,910 Wol.

Romeu Zema
40%

Renan Santos
32%

Ronaldo Caiado
17%

Michelle Bolsonaro
5%

Flávio Bolsonaro
5%

Fernando Haddad
4%

Tereza Cristina
2%

Helder Barbalho
2%

Camilo Santana
1%

Eduardo Leite
1%

Geraldo Alckmin
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Romeu Zema 40%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 17%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.3%
$278,910 Wol.
$278,910 Wol.

Romeu Zema
40%

Renan Santos
32%

Ronaldo Caiado
17%

Michelle Bolsonaro
5%

Flávio Bolsonaro
5%

Fernando Haddad
4%

Tereza Cristina
2%

Helder Barbalho
2%

Camilo Santana
1%

Eduardo Leite
1%

Geraldo Alckmin
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Romeu Zema for third place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his strong gubernatorial record in Minas Gerais amid polls showing him neck-and-neck with Ronaldo Caiado and surging outsider Renan Santos behind frontrunners Lula da Silva (38-40%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (33-37%). Recent May surveys from Quaest, Futura, and Ideia place Caiado at 4-5.7% for third, Zema at 3-4%, and Santos at 1-3%, down from his 5.3% peak in late April's AtlasIntel poll, underscoring volatility driven by undecided voters (9-15%) and a fragmented right-wing field lacking consolidation. Key factors keeping the race tight include competing gubernatorial bases and no major alliances yet; separation could arise from party conventions, debates, or economic shifts influencing swing state turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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