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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Świat·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Świat·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos 53%

Ronaldo Caiado 39%

Romeu Zema 4.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%

Polymarket

$549,984 Wol.

Renan Santos 53%

Ronaldo Caiado 39%

Romeu Zema 4.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%

Polymarket

$549,984 Wol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$183,754 Wol.

53%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$53,188 Wol.

39%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$22,575 Wol.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$25,139 Wol.

4%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$13,908 Wol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$45,607 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$21,749 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$8,747 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,754 Wol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,815 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,175 Wol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Wol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$10,684 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Wol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round at 52.5% implied probability, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 38.5%, because recent polling shows Santos pulling ahead of other right-wing contenders for that slot. Santos, the Missão party nominee and former Free Brazil Movement organizer, has risen steadily in surveys since spring by consolidating support among younger and independent voters seeking a sharper alternative to Flávio Bolsonaro. Caiado, the PSD standard-bearer and former Goiás governor, remains competitive but trails slightly in most August data. The top two—Lula at 38–42% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35%—are expected to advance comfortably, leaving the third-place contest among lower-polling names like Romeu Zema. Recent campaign launches by the frontrunners and ongoing candidate registrations have not yet altered this ordering.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$549,984
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round at 52.5% implied probability, ahead of Ronaldo Caiado at 38.5%, because recent polling shows Santos pulling ahead of other right-wing contenders for that slot. Santos, the Missão party nominee and former Free Brazil Movement organizer, has risen steadily in surveys since spring by consolidating support among younger and independent voters seeking a sharper alternative to Flávio Bolsonaro. Caiado, the PSD standard-bearer and former Goiás governor, remains competitive but trails slightly in most August data. The top two—Lula at 38–42% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35%—are expected to advance comfortably, leaving the third-place contest among lower-polling names like Romeu Zema. Recent campaign launches by the frontrunners and ongoing candidate registrations have not yet altered this ordering.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$549,984
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Renan Santos" z 53%, za nim "Ronaldo Caiado" z 39%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 53¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 53% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" wygenerował $550K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 11, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" jest "Renan Santos" z 53%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 53% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Ronaldo Caiado" z 39%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.