Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará first-round polls for the October 2026 presidential election, consistently leading Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 8–12 points in recent state surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, approval ratings near 50 percent in the state, and alliances with local MDB figures such as Helder Barbalho and Hana Ghassan underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Other declared candidates remain in single digits or lower. A reversal would require major late shifts in voter turnout, unforeseen campaign developments, or substantial changes in regional economic sentiment before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLula 93%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Hertz Dias <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$19,959 Wol.
$19,959 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 93%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Hertz Dias <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$19,959 Wol.
$19,959 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$10,513 Wol.
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,243 Wol.
5%
Hertz Dias
$868 Wol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,294 Wol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$668 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$690 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$663 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$662 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$569 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$703 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$989 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará first-round polls for the October 2026 presidential election, consistently leading Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 8–12 points in recent state surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, approval ratings near 50 percent in the state, and alliances with local MDB figures such as Helder Barbalho and Hana Ghassan underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Other declared candidates remain in single digits or lower. A reversal would require major late shifts in voter turnout, unforeseen campaign developments, or substantial changes in regional economic sentiment before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,959Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará first-round polls for the October 2026 presidential election, consistently leading Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 8–12 points in recent state surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, approval ratings near 50 percent in the state, and alliances with local MDB figures such as Helder Barbalho and Hana Ghassan underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Other declared candidates remain in single digits or lower. A reversal would require major late shifts in voter turnout, unforeseen campaign developments, or substantial changes in regional economic sentiment before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$19,959Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará first-round polls for the October 2026 presidential election, consistently leading Flávio Bolsonaro by margins of 8–12 points in recent state surveys from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Incumbency, approval ratings near 50 percent in the state, and alliances with local MDB figures such as Helder Barbalho and Hana Ghassan underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Other declared candidates remain in single digits or lower. A reversal would require major late shifts in voter turnout, unforeseen campaign developments, or substantial changes in regional economic sentiment before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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