Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from his official nomination by the PL party on August 1, 2026, and consistent polling leads of around 42% in first-round scenarios from surveys such as Paraná Pesquisas. Recent alliances, including backing from figures aligned with the Bolsonaro wing after earlier party splits, have consolidated right-leaning support behind the senator and former justice minister. Rivals including Requião Filho, Beto Richa, Enio Verri, Alexandre Curi, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva trail significantly in both stimulated and head-to-head polling, with most below 20%. The October 2026 first-round vote and potential runoff remain months away, leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late campaign developments, though current trader consensus prices Moro's implied probability well above competitors based on these electoral dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoParaná Governor Election Winner
Paraná Governor Election Winner
Sergio Moro 84%
Alexandre Curi 3.5%
Enio Verri 3.0%
Rafael Greca 2.8%
$41,180 Wol.
$41,180 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
Sergio Moro
84%
Alexandre Curi
3%
Enio Verri
3%
Rafael Greca
3%
Luiz França
1%
Beto Richa
1%
Guto Silva
1%
Requião Filho
<1%
Sergio Moro 84%
Alexandre Curi 3.5%
Enio Verri 3.0%
Rafael Greca 2.8%
$41,180 Wol.
$41,180 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
Sergio Moro
$32,335 Wol.
84%
Alexandre Curi
$452 Wol.
3%
Enio Verri
$309 Wol.
3%
Rafael Greca
$352 Wol.
3%
Luiz França
$272 Wol.
1%
Beto Richa
$371 Wol.
1%
Guto Silva
$647 Wol.
1%
Requião Filho
$6,443 Wol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from his official nomination by the PL party on August 1, 2026, and consistent polling leads of around 42% in first-round scenarios from surveys such as Paraná Pesquisas. Recent alliances, including backing from figures aligned with the Bolsonaro wing after earlier party splits, have consolidated right-leaning support behind the senator and former justice minister. Rivals including Requião Filho, Beto Richa, Enio Verri, Alexandre Curi, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva trail significantly in both stimulated and head-to-head polling, with most below 20%. The October 2026 first-round vote and potential runoff remain months away, leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late campaign developments, though current trader consensus prices Moro's implied probability well above competitors based on these electoral dynamics.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$41,180Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from his official nomination by the PL party on August 1, 2026, and consistent polling leads of around 42% in first-round scenarios from surveys such as Paraná Pesquisas. Recent alliances, including backing from figures aligned with the Bolsonaro wing after earlier party splits, have consolidated right-leaning support behind the senator and former justice minister. Rivals including Requião Filho, Beto Richa, Enio Verri, Alexandre Curi, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva trail significantly in both stimulated and head-to-head polling, with most below 20%. The October 2026 first-round vote and potential runoff remain months away, leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late campaign developments, though current trader consensus prices Moro's implied probability well above competitors based on these electoral dynamics.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$41,180Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro's position as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race stems from his official nomination by the PL party on August 1, 2026, and consistent polling leads of around 42% in first-round scenarios from surveys such as Paraná Pesquisas. Recent alliances, including backing from figures aligned with the Bolsonaro wing after earlier party splits, have consolidated right-leaning support behind the senator and former justice minister. Rivals including Requião Filho, Beto Richa, Enio Verri, Alexandre Curi, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva trail significantly in both stimulated and head-to-head polling, with most below 20%. The October 2026 first-round vote and potential runoff remain months away, leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late campaign developments, though current trader consensus prices Moro's implied probability well above competitors based on these electoral dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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